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Stadium Background

Ajman vs Al Jazira

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Ajman Stadium, Ajman
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Yousif B.
22'
Willyan Rocha
25'
Hadani S.

AI Match Summary

The UAE League 2025/2026 game between Ajman and Al Jazira finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ajman
20%
Draws
44%
Al Jazira
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Jazira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Al Jazira carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Al Jazira taking it.
  • Regular UAE League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ajman Clean Sheet 15%
Al Jazira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajman Al Jazira
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 20
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 UAE League
Al Jazira vs Ajman
3:0
May 5, 2026 UAE League
Ajman vs Al Jazira
1:1
Jan 8, 2026 UAE League
Al Jazira vs Ajman
3:0
Oct 26, 2025 Presidents Cup
Al Jazira vs Ajman
2:1
Apr 11, 2025 UAE League
Ajman vs Al Jazira
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ajman Compare

Top Goalscorer Henrique V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Al Jazira Compare

Top Goalscorer Elneny M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajman 15 / 100
Al Jazira 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajman Al Jazira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Jazira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ajman found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Al Jazira has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Ajman went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ajman VS Al Jazira
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajman

(Home)
19 Sept
Ajman
3 : 2
Al Sharjah
11 Sept
Ajman
2 : 3
Ittihad Kalba
06 Sept
Al Nasr
1 : 2
Ajman
29 Aug
Al Jazira
3 : 0
Ajman
22 Aug
Ajman
4 : 3
Hatta
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Al Jazira

(Away)
20 Sept
Al Jazira
1 : 0
Al Wahda
15 Sept
Gol Gohar
0 : 0
Al Jazira
10 Sept
Al Jazira
1 : 1
Al Nasr
05 Sept
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1 : 3
Al Jazira
29 Aug
Al Jazira
3 : 0
Ajman
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 26 21 5 0 62:18 68
2 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 26 17 7 2 60:18 58
3 Al Wasl 26 14 6 6 39:29 48
4 Al Jazira 26 13 5 8 46:30 44
5 Al Wahda 26 10 10 6 38:26 40
6 Al Nasr 26 9 11 6 36:34 38
7 Ajman 26 9 5 12 27:34 32
8 Al Sharjah 26 8 5 13 35:47 29
9 Khorfakkan 26 6 9 11 35:45 27
10 Bani Yas 26 7 6 13 29:43 27
11 Ittihad Kalba 26 5 9 12 29:45 24
12 Al Dhafra 26 6 4 16 28:52 22
13 Al Bataeh 26 4 9 13 24:37 21
14 Dibba Al Fujairah 26 5 5 16 25:55 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)