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Ajman vs Al Nasr

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Ajman Stadium, Ajman
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Azaro W.
Assist: Henrique V.
30'
Ghaedi M.
42' Event
Azaro W.
Assist: Henrique V.

AI Match Summary

The UAE League 2025/2026 game between Ajman and Al Nasr finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Ajman
15%
Draws
37%
Al Nasr
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ajman have managed 1.45 goals a game lately — Al Nasr are scoring more at 1.6.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular UAE League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Ajman Clean Sheet 14%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajman Al Nasr
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 12
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.45 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Ajman
1:2
May 15, 2026 UAE League
Ajman vs Al Nasr
2:2
Aug 24, 2025 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Ajman
1:0
Feb 27, 2025 UAE League
Ajman vs Al Nasr
2:1
Oct 5, 2024 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Ajman
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ajman Compare

Top Goalscorer Azaro W.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Al Nasr Compare

Top Goalscorer Doumbia C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toure A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajman 31 / 100
Al Nasr 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajman Al Nasr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al Nasr conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Ajman's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ajman remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ajman VS Al Nasr
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajman

(Home)
19 Sept
Ajman
3 : 2
Al Sharjah
11 Sept
Ajman
2 : 3
Ittihad Kalba
06 Sept
Al Nasr
1 : 2
Ajman
29 Aug
Al Jazira
3 : 0
Ajman
22 Aug
Ajman
4 : 3
Hatta
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Al Nasr

(Away)
20 Sept
Al Nasr
3 : 1
United FC
10 Sept
Al Jazira
1 : 1
Al Nasr
06 Sept
Al Nasr
1 : 2
Ajman
29 Aug
Al Ain
2 : 1
Al Nasr
21 Aug
Al Nasr
1 : 0
Al Wahda
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 26 21 5 0 62:18 68
2 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 26 17 7 2 60:18 58
3 Al Wasl 26 14 6 6 39:29 48
4 Al Jazira 26 13 5 8 46:30 44
5 Al Wahda 26 10 10 6 38:26 40
6 Al Nasr 26 9 11 6 36:34 38
7 Ajman 26 9 5 12 27:34 32
8 Al Sharjah 26 8 5 13 35:47 29
9 Khorfakkan 26 6 9 11 35:45 27
10 Bani Yas 26 7 6 13 29:43 27
11 Ittihad Kalba 26 5 9 12 29:45 24
12 Al Dhafra 26 6 4 16 28:52 22
13 Al Bataeh 26 4 9 13 24:37 21
14 Dibba Al Fujairah 26 5 5 16 25:55 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)