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Ajman vs Al Sharjah

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Ajman Stadium, Ajman
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Azaro W.
Assist: Flemmings J.
31' Event
Lithierry
33' Event
Caio Lucas
Assist: Matheus Saldanha

AI Match Summary

Ajman in this UAE League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ajman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ajman
15%
Draws
42%
Al Sharjah
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Sharjah lately — more wins on the board than Ajman.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Ajman Clean Sheet 10%
Al Sharjah Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajman Al Sharjah
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 League Cup
Ajman vs Al Sharjah
3:2
Feb 20, 2026 UAE League
Ajman vs Al Sharjah
3:2
Sep 21, 2025 UAE League
Al Sharjah vs Ajman
0:1
Apr 22, 2025 UAE League
Al Sharjah vs Ajman
4:0
Dec 8, 2024 UAE League
Ajman vs Al Sharjah
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ajman Compare

Top Goalscorer Azaro W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lithierry
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Al Sharjah Compare

Top Goalscorer Caio Lucas
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajman 30 / 100
Al Sharjah 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajman Al Sharjah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Sharjah Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Sharjah's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Ajman scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Ajman went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ajman VS Al Sharjah
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajman

(Home)
02 Oct
Al Ain
2 : 3
Ajman
19 Sept
Ajman
3 : 2
Al Sharjah
11 Sept
Ajman
2 : 3
Ittihad Kalba
06 Sept
Al Nasr
1 : 2
Ajman
29 Aug
Al Jazira
3 : 0
Ajman
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Al Sharjah

(Away)
01 Oct
Al Sharjah
2 : 1
Al Dhafra
19 Sept
Ajman
3 : 2
Al Sharjah
11 Sept
Al Wahda
1 : 0
Al Sharjah
05 Sept
Al Sharjah
4 : 3
United FC
30 Aug
Hatta
0 : 3
Al Sharjah
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 26 21 5 0 62:18 68
2 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 26 17 7 2 60:18 58
3 Al Wasl 26 14 6 6 39:29 48
4 Al Jazira 26 13 5 8 46:30 44
5 Al Wahda 26 10 10 6 38:26 40
6 Al Nasr 26 9 11 6 36:34 38
7 Ajman 26 9 5 12 27:34 32
8 Al Sharjah 26 8 5 13 35:47 29
9 Khorfakkan 26 6 9 11 35:45 27
10 Bani Yas 26 7 6 13 29:43 27
11 Ittihad Kalba 26 5 9 12 29:45 24
12 Al Dhafra 26 6 4 16 28:52 22
13 Al Bataeh 26 4 9 13 24:37 21
14 Dibba Al Fujairah 26 5 5 16 25:55 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)