Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ajman vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Ajman Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Kauan Santos
Assist: Ezatolahi S.
54'
Mittache A.
56'
Mateusao

AI Match Summary

The UAE League 2025/2026 game between Ajman and Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ajman
30%
Draws
34%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ajman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai come out ahead of Ajman on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ajman's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular UAE League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ajman Clean Sheet 20%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajman Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 10 19
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.14 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.14 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.29 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 UAE League
Ajman vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
0:1
Jan 15, 2026 UAE League
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Ajman
3:1
Feb 8, 2025 UAE League
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Ajman
3:1
Jan 25, 2025 Presidents Cup
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Ajman
2:1
Sep 8, 2024 League Cup
Ajman vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ajman Compare

Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Compare

Top Goalscorer Kauan Santos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajman 36 / 100
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajman Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ajman scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Ajman went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ajman VS Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1.14 Goals Scored 2.38
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.13
86% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ain26215062:1868
2Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai26177260:1858
3Al Wasl26146639:2948
4Al Jazira26135846:3044
5Al Wahda261010638:2640
6Al Nasr26911636:3438
7Ajman26951227:3432
8Al Sharjah26851335:4729
9Khorfakkan26691135:4527
10Bani Yas26761329:4327
11Ittihad Kalba26591229:4524
12Al Dhafra26641628:5222
13Al Bataeh26491324:3721
14Dibba Al Fujairah26551625:5520