Sport Picks
Ak Bulak vs Gefest Karagandy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kazakhstan
First Division 2013 
AI Match Summary
The First Division 2013 game between Ak Bulak and Gefest Karagandy finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gefest Karagandy.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ak Bulak
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Gefest Karagandy haven't matched Ak Bulak's recent run of results.
- Ak Bulak are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Ak Bulak Clean Sheet 20%
Gefest Karagandy Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ak Bulak | Gefest Karagandy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 0.78 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.91 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2013 First League
Ak Bulak vs Gefest Karagandy
1:2
May 29, 2013 First League
Gefest Karagandy vs Ak Bulak
1:0
Aug 5, 2011 First League
Gefest Karagandy vs Ak Bulak
3:2
Jul 13, 2011 First League
Ak Bulak vs Gefest Karagandy
1:1
Oct 21, 2010 First League
Ak Bulak vs Gefest Karagandy
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ak Bulak 85 / 100
Gefest Karagandy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ak Bulak Gefest Karagandy
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ak Bulak Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Gefest Karagandy conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.
Gefest Karagandy lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Ak Bulak scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
- VS Gefest Karagandy
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ak Bulak
(Home) 26 Oct
Ak Bulak
2 : 0 Maqtaaral
23 Oct
Ak Bulak
1 : 0 FK Kyran
16 Oct
Bayterek Astana
0 : 2 Ak Bulak
13 Oct
Shakhtar Bulat
1 : 4 Ak Bulak
01 Oct
Sunkar
2 : 1 Ak Bulak
Page 1 of 6
26 Oct
Ak Bulak
2 : 0 Maqtaaral
23 Oct
Ak Bulak
1 : 0 FK Kyran
21 Sept
Ak Bulak
0 : 2 Spartak Semey
18 Sept
Ak Bulak
2 : 0 FC Ekibastuz
31 Aug
Ak Bulak
1 : 2 Gefest Karagandy
Page 1 of 3
Gefest Karagandy
(Away) 08 Nov
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3 Bayterek Astana
02 Nov
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 0 Gefest Karagandy
25 Oct
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3 Maqtaaral
19 Oct
FK Kyran
3 : 0 Gefest Karagandy
11 Oct
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3 Akzhayik Uralsk
Page 1 of 7
02 Nov
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 0 Gefest Karagandy
19 Oct
FK Kyran
3 : 0 Gefest Karagandy
04 Oct
CSKA Almaty
3 : 0 Gefest Karagandy
20 Sept
Sunkar
3 : 0 Gefest Karagandy
07 Sept
Vostok Oskemen
3 : 0 Gefest Karagandy
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 77:20 | 74 |
| 2 | Spartak Semey | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 54:24 | 70 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 51:27 | 67 |
| 4 | Kyzylzhar | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 52:35 | 65 |
| 5 | Kaspij Aktau | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 55:31 | 65 |
| 6 | Ile-Saulet | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 66:32 | 65 |
| 7 | Zhenis | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 51:37 | 58 |
| 8 | FK Kyran | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 53:39 | 55 |
| 9 | Sunkar | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 48:33 | 48 |
| 10 | Ak Bulak | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:39 | 48 |
| 11 | Gefest Karagandy | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 37:46 | 44 |
| 12 | FC Ekibastuz | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 34:36 | 40 |
| 13 | Shakhtar Bulat | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 28:42 | 30 |
| 14 | Taraz-Karatau 2 | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 28:57 | 24 |
| 15 | Bayterek Astana | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 32:67 | 23 |
| 16 | Maqtaaral | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 29:62 | 22 |
| 17 | CSKA Almaty | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 29:79 | 19 |
| 18 | Shymkent | 34 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 27:94 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2014 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2013 (Relegation)
