Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Akademiya Ontustik vs Khan Tengri

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Nuraly B.
14' Event
Ali A.
25' Event
Abdullaev B.
Assist: Sarsenbek R.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between Akademiya Ontustik and Khan Tengri finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Akademiya Ontustik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Akademiya Ontustik
20%
Draws
28%
Khan Tengri
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Akademiya Ontustik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Khan Tengri haven't matched Akademiya Ontustik's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Akademiya Ontustik's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Akademiya Ontustik Clean Sheet 18%
Khan Tengri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akademiya Ontustik Khan Tengri
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.62 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 First League
Akademiya Ontustik vs Khan Tengri
3:1
May 8, 2026 First League
Khan Tengri vs Akademiya Ontustik
3:0
Aug 14, 2025 First League
Khan Tengri vs Akademiya Ontustik
0:1
May 16, 2025 First League
Akademiya Ontustik vs Khan Tengri
4:2
Oct 25, 2023 First League
Akademiya Ontustik vs Khan Tengri
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akademiya Ontustik Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nuraly B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Khan Tengri Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdullaev B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akademiya Ontustik 76 / 100
Khan Tengri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akademiya Ontustik Khan Tengri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Akademiya Ontustik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Akademiya Ontustik found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Akademiya Ontustik stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Khan Tengri let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Akademiya Ontustik VS Khan Tengri
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Akademiya Ontustik

(Home)
17 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
0 : 0
Jaiyq
10 Sept
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 1
Akademiya Ontustik
03 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
2 : 1
Aktobe 2
27 Aug
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Akademiya Ontustik
20 Aug
Akademiya Ontustik
3 : 2
FC Ekibastuz
Page 1 of 6

Khan Tengri

(Away)
18 Sept
Khan Tengri
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty 2
11 Sept
Taraz
3 : 3
Khan Tengri
03 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
Khan Tengri
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
20 Aug
Tobol 2
3 : 4
Khan Tengri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 23 20 2 1 64:8 62
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 23 13 4 6 36:27 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 29:41 25
10 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
11 Arys 23 7 3 13 29:43 24
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 40:57 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 3 3 17 17:47 12
Promotion - Premier League 2027 (Main)