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AKAS vs Altai

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Omarbek A.
(Penalty)
32' Event
Gridin S.
Assist: Vasilchenko D.
34'
Kenzhegulov D.

AI Match Summary

The First League 2025 game between AKAS and Altai finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
AKAS
15%
Draws
64%
Altai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Altai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AKAS come out ahead of Altai on wins alone.
  • AKAS are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
AKAS Clean Sheet 20%
Altai Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AKAS Altai
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.53 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2025 First League
AKAS vs Altai
1:1
Jun 20, 2025 First League
Altai vs AKAS
1:2
Mar 20, 2023 Kazakhstan Cup
AKAS vs Altai
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AKAS Compare

Top Goalscorer Gridin S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Altai Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AKAS 42 / 100
Altai 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AKAS Altai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AKAS scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Altai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Altai's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Altai
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AKAS

(Home)
24 Oct
AKAS
1 : 2
Kaspij Aktau
16 Oct
Taraz
3 : 1
AKAS
02 Oct
AKAS
1 : 2
Akademiya Ontustik
26 Sept
Zhetisay
2 : 1
AKAS
18 Sept
AKAS
1 : 1
Altai
Page 1 of 6

Altai

(Away)
15 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 1
Altai
08 Aug
Altai
3 : 0
Kyzylzhar
02 Aug
Okzhetpes
4 : 1
Altai
26 Jul
FC Astana
4 : 1
Altai
19 Jul
Altai
2 : 4
Aktobe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kaspij Aktau 26 22 2 2 74:27 68
2 Ertis Pavlodar 26 19 4 3 71:20 61
3 Altai 26 17 4 5 54:23 55
4 Shakhter Karagandy 26 16 5 5 61:34 53
5 Zhetisay 26 13 3 10 44:35 42
6 Kairat Almaty 2 26 12 4 10 58:42 40
7 Akademiya Ontustik 26 12 3 11 44:44 39
8 Taraz 26 10 5 11 43:38 35
9 AKAS 26 10 3 13 42:39 33
10 FC Ekibastuz 26 8 4 14 36:60 28
11 SD Family 26 7 2 17 33:75 23
12 Khan Tengri 26 5 3 18 27:55 18
13 Aktobe 2 26 3 7 16 34:65 16
14 Turkistan 26 2 3 21 16:80 9
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