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Stadium Background

AKAS vs SD Family

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League 2025 Zhas Kyran Stadium, Almaty
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Sautov A.
45'
Emirov R.
45' Event
Duysenbek D.

AI Match Summary

SD Family in this First League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SD Family.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
AKAS
15%
Draws
0%
SD Family
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AKAS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • AKAS have won more games recently than SD Family.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on AKAS taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
AKAS Clean Sheet 11%
SD Family Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AKAS SD Family
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 4 2
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.53 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.4 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2025 First League
AKAS vs SD Family
1:2
Apr 24, 2025 First League
SD Family vs AKAS
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AKAS Compare

Top Goalscorer Sautov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.35
Avg xA / game 1.53

SD Family Compare

Top Goalscorer Duysenbek D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdullaev B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AKAS 83 / 100
SD Family 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AKAS SD Family

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AKAS's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

SD Family's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

SD Family's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

AKAS VS SD Family
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 4.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

AKAS

(Home)
24 Oct
AKAS
1 : 2
Kaspij Aktau
16 Oct
Taraz
3 : 1
AKAS
02 Oct
AKAS
1 : 2
Akademiya Ontustik
26 Sept
Zhetisay
2 : 1
AKAS
18 Sept
AKAS
1 : 1
Altai
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SD Family

(Away)
09 Apr
SD Family
:
Ertis Pavlodar
24 Oct
Kairat Almaty 2
5 : 1
SD Family
17 Oct
SD Family
2 : 7
Aktobe 2
02 Oct
FC Ekibastuz
3 : 2
SD Family
25 Sept
SD Family
2 : 7
Ertis Pavlodar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kaspij Aktau 26 22 2 2 74:27 68
2 Ertis Pavlodar 26 19 4 3 71:20 61
3 Altai 26 17 4 5 54:23 55
4 Shakhter Karagandy 26 16 5 5 61:34 53
5 Zhetisay 26 13 3 10 44:35 42
6 Kairat Almaty 2 26 12 4 10 58:42 40
7 Akademiya Ontustik 26 12 3 11 44:44 39
8 Taraz 26 10 5 11 43:38 35
9 AKAS 26 10 3 13 42:39 33
10 FC Ekibastuz 26 8 4 14 36:60 28
11 SD Family 26 7 2 17 33:75 23
12 Khan Tengri 26 5 3 18 27:55 18
13 Aktobe 2 26 3 7 16 34:65 16
14 Turkistan 26 2 3 21 16:80 9
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