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Akhmat Grozny vs Krylya Sovetov Samara

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Yakuev M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Akhmat Grozny and Krylya Sovetov Samara finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Akhmat Grozny.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Akhmat Grozny
6%
Draws
4%
Krylya Sovetov Samara
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Akhmat Grozny

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Akhmat Grozny carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Akhmat Grozny are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Akhmat Grozny Clean Sheet 20%
Krylya Sovetov Samara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akhmat Grozny Krylya Sovetov Samara
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 14 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Akhmat Grozny
2:2
Aug 16, 2025 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
3:1
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Akhmat Grozny vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
1:0
Nov 24, 2024 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Akhmat Grozny
2:1
Sep 23, 2024 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akhmat Grozny Compare

Top Goalscorer Yakuev M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Krylya Sovetov Samara Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akhmat Grozny 85 / 100
Krylya Sovetov Samara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akhmat Grozny Krylya Sovetov Samara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Akhmat Grozny found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Akhmat Grozny remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Krylya Sovetov Samara's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 26 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Akhmat Grozny VS Krylya Sovetov Samara
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Akhmat Grozny

(Home)
26 Jul
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1
Akhmat Grozny
16 Jul
Akhmat Grozny
1 : 0
Ajman
14 Jul
Radnik Bijeljina
0 : 3
Akhmat Grozny
11 Jul
IMT Novi Beograd
0 : 1
Akhmat Grozny
04 Jul
Novi Pazar
1 : 1
Akhmat Grozny
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Krylya Sovetov Samara

(Away)
25 Jul
Dynamo Moscow
0 : 0
Krylya Sovetov Samara
18 Jul
Akron Togliatti
2 : 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara
11 Jul
Rubin Kazan
2 : 0
Krylya Sovetov Samara
04 Jul
Spartak Moscow
3 : 2
Krylya Sovetov Samara
01 Jul
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 3
Saratov
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