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Akhmat Grozny vs OKMK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Sentoku A.
24' Event
Kenzhebek G.
30'
Sub
Keliano M. In: Gadio P.
Out: Keliano M.

AI Match Summary

Akhmat Grozny in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Akhmat Grozny.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Akhmat Grozny
30%
Draws
47%
OKMK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: OKMK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to OKMK lately — more wins on the board than Akhmat Grozny.
  • Win probability leans OKMK's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Akhmat Grozny Clean Sheet 20%
OKMK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akhmat Grozny OKMK
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 10 6
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.41 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Akhmat Grozny vs OKMK
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akhmat Grozny Compare

Top Goalscorer Melkadze G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kenzhebek G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

OKMK Compare

Top Goalscorer Sentoku A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akhmat Grozny 28 / 100
OKMK 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akhmat Grozny OKMK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OKMK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OKMK let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Akhmat Grozny found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Akhmat Grozny went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Akhmat Grozny VS OKMK
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Akhmat Grozny

(Home)
17 Sept
Akron Togliatti
2 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2
Dynamo Makhachkala
07 Sept
Rubin Kazan
1 : 1
Akhmat Grozny
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
29 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 3
Krylya Sovetov Samara
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OKMK

(Away)
20 Sept
Sogdiana
1 : 2
OKMK
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1
Xorazm Urganch
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3
Pakhtakor
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
25 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0
OKMK
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