Sport Picks
Match Events
89'
89'
Llama C.
90'
90'
Sidibe A.
1'
1'
Grillo P.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Akragas in this Coppa Italia Serie D 2023/2024 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
7%
20%
73%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Canicatti
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Canicatti lately — more wins on the board than Akragas.
- Win probability leans Canicatti's way, sitting at 40%.
- Canicatti arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Akragas, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Akragas here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Akragas Clean Sheet 17%
Canicatti Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Akragas | Canicatti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 18 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.94 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.58 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.85 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 3, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Canicatti vs Akragas
2:1
Oct 29, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Akragas vs Canicatti
2:1
Oct 18, 2023 Coppa Italia Serie D
Akragas vs Canicatti
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Akragas Compare
Top Goalscorer Llama C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42
Canicatti Compare
Top Goalscorer Sidibe A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Akragas 28 / 100
Canicatti 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Akragas Canicatti
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Canicatti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Canicatti's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Akragas found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).
Solid form: Akragas remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Akragas VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Akragas
(Home) 09 Mar
Reggina
2 : 0 Akragas
02 Mar
Akragas
0 : 0 AS Acireale
23 Feb
USD Ragusa
3 : 0 Akragas
16 Feb
Akragas
1 : 2 S. Agata
09 Feb
Scafatese
3 : 1 Akragas
Page 1 of 7
02 Mar
Akragas
0 : 0 AS Acireale
16 Feb
Akragas
1 : 2 S. Agata
02 Feb
Akragas
0 : 2 Igea Virtus
19 Jan
Akragas
0 : 1 Castrumfavara
05 Jan
Akragas
2 : 2 Locri 1909
Page 1 of 4
Canicatti
(Away) 05 May
Canicatti
4 : 2 San Luca
21 Apr
Canicatti
5 : 0 AS Acireale
14 Apr
Reggina
5 : 0 Canicatti
07 Apr
Canicatti
4 : 1 Igea Virtus
28 Mar
Sancataldese
0 : 0 Canicatti
Page 1 of 6
14 Apr
Reggina
5 : 0 Canicatti
28 Mar
Sancataldese
0 : 0 Canicatti
10 Mar
Real Casalnuovo
1 : 1 Canicatti
25 Feb
Vibonese
2 : 0 Canicatti
04 Feb
Trapani
7 : 0 Canicatti
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Dolomiti Bellunesi 2
Virtus Bolzano 0
Luparense FC 3
Chions 1
Clodiense 1
Ravenna 0
Campodarsego 1
Montecchio Maggiore 0
Arconatese 1
Alcione Milano 0
Castellanzese 0
Varesina 2
Pro Palazzolo 1
Desenzano Calvina 0
Real Calepina 1
Ponte San Pietro 0
Asti Calcio 1
PDHA 0
Chisola 1
Bra 2
USD Casatese 1
Fanfulla 0
Fezzanese 0
Vado 1
Livorno 2
Ghiviborgo 1
Poggibonsi 2
Aglianese Calcio 1
Follonica Gavorrano 2
Sangiovannese 1
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 2
Pistoiese 1
San Donnino 0
Corticella 3
Forli FC 1
Imolese 3
Fano 2
Sambenedettese 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Campobasso 1
Grosseto 2
Nuova Florida 3
Tivoli Calcio 1
Ostiamare 0
Trastevere Calcio 2
Latte Dolce 0
Real Monterotondo 1
Cynthialbalonga 2
Citta di Fasano 3
Casarano 4
Fidelis Andria 2
Bitonto 1
San Marzano 2
Paganese 3
Cavese 3
Rotonda 0
Angri 3
Real Casalnuovo 1
Vibonese 1
Lamezia Terme 2
Akragas 2
Canicatti 1
Trapani 2
Sancataldese 1
1/16-finals
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Luparense FC 0
Clodiense 1
Campodarsego 0
Arconatese 0
Varesina 1
Pro Palazzolo 2
Real Calepina 1
Asti Calcio 1
Bra 2
USD Casatese 2
Vado 1
Livorno 3
Poggibonsi 0
Follonica Gavorrano 3
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 1
Corticella 0
Imolese 2
Fano 0
Campobasso 1
Nuova Florida 2
Tivoli Calcio 1
Trastevere Calcio 0
Cynthialbalonga 1
Casarano 0
Fidelis Andria 3
Paganese 0
Cavese 1
Angri -
Lamezia Terme -
Akragas 0
Trapani 3
1/8-finals
Dolomiti Bellunesi 0
Clodiense 2
Varesina 3
Pro Palazzolo 0
Bra 0
USD Casatese 1
Livorno 0
Follonica Gavorrano 3
Imolese 1
Campobasso 0
Nuova Florida 2
Cynthialbalonga 1
Fidelis Andria 3
Cavese 1
Angri 0
Trapani 3
Quarter-finals
Clodiense 0
Varesina 1
USD Casatese 1
Follonica Gavorrano 2
Imolese 1
Nuova Florida 0
Fidelis Andria 1
Trapani 2
Semi-finals
Varesina 3
Follonica Gavorrano 4
Imolese 1
Trapani 3
Final
Follonica Gavorrano 1
Trapani 2
