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Akragas vs Canicatti

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Viglianisi G.
54' Event
Llama C.
79'
Tedesco G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 game between Akragas and Canicatti finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Akragas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Akragas
33%
Draws
40%
Canicatti
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Canicatti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Canicatti come out ahead of Akragas on wins alone.
  • Model gives Canicatti a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Akragas here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Akragas Clean Sheet 17%
Canicatti Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akragas Canicatti
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 4 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Canicatti vs Akragas
2:1
Oct 29, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Akragas vs Canicatti
2:1
Oct 18, 2023 Coppa Italia Serie D
Akragas vs Canicatti
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akragas Compare

Top Goalscorer Llama C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trombino A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Canicatti Compare

Top Goalscorer Sidibe A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akragas 28 / 100
Canicatti 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akragas Canicatti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canicatti let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Akragas found the back of the net in 46% of recent matches (26 games).

Akragas has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Akragas VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Akragas

(Home)
09 Mar
Reggina
2 : 0
Akragas
02 Mar
Akragas
0 : 0
AS Acireale
23 Feb
USD Ragusa
3 : 0
Akragas
16 Feb
Akragas
1 : 2
S. Agata
09 Feb
Scafatese
3 : 1
Akragas
Page 1 of 6

Canicatti

(Away)
05 May
Canicatti
4 : 2
San Luca
21 Apr
Canicatti
5 : 0
AS Acireale
14 Apr
Reggina
5 : 0
Canicatti
07 Apr
Canicatti
4 : 1
Igea Virtus
28 Mar
Sancataldese
0 : 0
Canicatti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trapani34304095:1594
2Siracusa34256379:2681
3Vibonese34226667:2972
4Reggina34198754:2565
5AS Acireale341591039:4154
6S. Agata341571246:3552
7Real Casalnuovo341561352:4951
8USD Ragusa341481241:3850
9Canicatti341461455:5148
10Igea Virtus341361538:4045
11Licata341271543:5443
12Akragas341261642:5342
13Sancataldese349101532:4337
14Portici 190634881832:5532
15San Luca346121637:5529
16Locri 190934772034:6828
17Castrovillari342122029:7617
18Nuova Gioiese34322918:8011
19Lamezia Terme00000:00
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)