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Akragas vs Canicatti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Viglianisi G.
54' Event
Llama C.
79'
Tedesco G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 game between Akragas and Canicatti finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Akragas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Akragas
20%
Draws
73%
Canicatti
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Canicatti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Canicatti come out ahead of Akragas on wins alone.
  • Model gives Canicatti a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Akragas here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Akragas Clean Sheet 17%
Canicatti Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akragas Canicatti
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.94 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Canicatti vs Akragas
2:1
Oct 29, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Akragas vs Canicatti
2:1
Oct 18, 2023 Coppa Italia Serie D
Akragas vs Canicatti
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akragas Compare

Top Goalscorer Llama C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trombino A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Canicatti Compare

Top Goalscorer Sidibe A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akragas 28 / 100
Canicatti 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akragas Canicatti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canicatti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canicatti let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Akragas found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).

Akragas has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Akragas VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Akragas

(Home)
09 Mar
Reggina
2 : 0
Akragas
02 Mar
Akragas
0 : 0
AS Acireale
23 Feb
USD Ragusa
3 : 0
Akragas
16 Feb
Akragas
1 : 2
S. Agata
09 Feb
Scafatese
3 : 1
Akragas
Page 1 of 7

Canicatti

(Away)
05 May
Canicatti
4 : 2
San Luca
21 Apr
Canicatti
5 : 0
AS Acireale
14 Apr
Reggina
5 : 0
Canicatti
07 Apr
Canicatti
4 : 1
Igea Virtus
28 Mar
Sancataldese
0 : 0
Canicatti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trapani 34 30 4 0 95:15 94
2 Siracusa 34 25 6 3 79:26 81
3 Vibonese 34 22 6 6 67:29 72
4 Reggina 34 19 8 7 54:25 65
5 AS Acireale 34 15 9 10 39:41 54
6 S. Agata 34 15 7 12 46:35 52
7 Real Casalnuovo 34 15 6 13 52:49 51
8 USD Ragusa 34 14 8 12 41:38 50
9 Canicatti 34 14 6 14 55:51 48
10 Igea Virtus 34 13 6 15 38:40 45
11 Licata 34 12 7 15 43:54 43
12 Akragas 34 12 6 16 42:53 42
13 Sancataldese 34 9 10 15 32:43 37
14 Portici 1906 34 8 8 18 32:55 32
15 San Luca 34 6 12 16 37:55 29
16 Locri 1909 34 7 7 20 34:68 28
17 Castrovillari 34 2 12 20 29:76 17
18 Nuova Gioiese 34 3 2 29 18:80 11
19 Lamezia Terme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)