Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Akranes vs Breidablik

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Akranesvöllur, Akranes
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Thorsteinsson S.
Assist: Stefansson O.
35'
Arnason I.
61'
Sub
Hallsson G. In: Jonsson K.
Out: Hallsson G.

AI Match Summary

Breidablik in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Breidablik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Akranes
20%
Draws
34%
Breidablik
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Akranes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Breidablik have won more games recently than Akranes.
  • Akranes are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Akranes Clean Sheet 16%
Breidablik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akranes Breidablik
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.03 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs Breidablik
4:1
Jul 4, 2026 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs Breidablik
1:2
Apr 17, 2026 Besta deild karla
Breidablik vs Akranes
1:0
Sep 11, 2025 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs Breidablik
3:0
May 29, 2025 Besta deild karla
Breidablik vs Akranes
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akranes Compare

Top Goalscorer Thorsteinsson S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Breidablik Compare

Top Goalscorer Thorsteinsson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Willumsson T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akranes 57 / 100
Breidablik 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akranes Breidablik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Akranes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Akranes found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Breidablik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Akranes stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Akranes VS Breidablik
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Akranes

(Home)
20 Sept
Akranes
4 : 1
Breidablik
13 Sept
KR Reykjavik
5 : 1
Akranes
06 Sept
Akranes
3 : 1
KR Reykjavik
30 Aug
Valur
2 : 2
Akranes
23 Aug
Akranes
1 : 1
Hafnarfjordur
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Breidablik

(Away)
20 Sept
Akranes
4 : 1
Breidablik
15 Sept
Fram
1 : 3
Breidablik
11 Sept
Afturelding
1 : 2
Breidablik
06 Sept
KA Akureyri
2 : 1
Breidablik
31 Aug
Breidablik
0 : 2
Stjarnan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)