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Stadium Background

Akranes vs Breidablik

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Akranesvöllur, Akranes
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Thorsteinsson S.
Assist: Stefansson O.
35'
Arnason I.
61'
Sub
Hallsson G. In: Jonsson K.
Out: Hallsson G.

AI Match Summary

Breidablik in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Breidablik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Akranes
20%
Draws
57%
Breidablik
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Breidablik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Breidablik have won more games recently than Akranes.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Akranes Clean Sheet 10%
Breidablik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akranes Breidablik
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.88 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs Breidablik
1:2
Apr 17, 2026 Besta deild karla
Breidablik vs Akranes
1:0
Sep 11, 2025 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs Breidablik
3:0
May 29, 2025 Besta deild karla
Breidablik vs Akranes
1:4
Jan 18, 2025 Club Friendly
Breidablik vs Akranes
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akranes Compare

Top Goalscorer Thorsteinsson S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Breidablik Compare

Top Goalscorer Thorsteinsson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Willumsson T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akranes 34 / 100
Breidablik 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akranes Breidablik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Akranes found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Breidablik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Akranes stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Akranes VS Breidablik
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Akranes

(Home)
02 Aug
Akranes
2 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik
26 Jul
Akranes
5 : 1
Stjarnan
20 Jul
Keflavik
5 : 2
Akranes
12 Jul
KA Akureyri
3 : 2
Akranes
04 Jul
Akranes
1 : 2
Breidablik
Page 1 of 6

Breidablik

(Away)
04 Aug
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0
Breidablik
27 Jul
Breidablik
1 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
20 Jul
Hafnarfjordur
0 : 0
Breidablik
13 Jul
Breidablik
2 : 1
Keflavik
04 Jul
Akranes
1 : 2
Breidablik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 17 14 2 1 56:14 44
2 Fram 17 11 4 2 43:29 37
3 KR Reykjavik 17 11 3 3 59:37 36
4 Breidablik 17 8 5 4 35:27 29
5 Keflavik 17 6 4 7 28:33 22
6 Valur 17 6 1 10 28:35 19
7 Akranes 17 5 4 8 28:36 19
8 Stjarnan 17 5 3 9 32:43 18
9 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 17 4 4 9 27:36 16
10 KA Akureyri 17 4 3 10 24:35 15
11 Thor Akureyri 17 4 3 10 18:42 15
12 Hafnarfjordur 17 2 8 7 21:32 14
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)