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Akranes vs Fram

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Akranesvöllur, Akranes
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Jonasson A.
Assist: Hauksson R.
23' Event
Jonasson A.
(Penalty)
41'
Fred Saraiva

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between Akranes and Fram finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fram.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Akranes
35%
Draws
28%
Fram
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Akranes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Akranes haven't matched Fram's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Akranes's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Akranes Clean Sheet 10%
Fram Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akranes Fram
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 2.07 2.6
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2026 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs Fram
0:2
Apr 12, 2026 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Akranes
3:3
Jul 5, 2025 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs Fram
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Akranes
0:1
Aug 12, 2024 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs Fram
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akranes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Fram Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonasson A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akranes 38 / 100
Fram 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akranes Fram

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Akranes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Akranes scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Fram let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Akranes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Akranes VS Fram
2.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Akranes

(Home)
20 Sept
Akranes
4 : 1
Breidablik
13 Sept
KR Reykjavik
5 : 1
Akranes
06 Sept
Akranes
3 : 1
KR Reykjavik
30 Aug
Valur
2 : 2
Akranes
23 Aug
Akranes
1 : 1
Hafnarfjordur
Page 1 of 6

Fram

(Away)
20 Sept
Keflavik
2 : 2
Fram
15 Sept
Fram
1 : 3
Breidablik
06 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
2 : 2
Fram
30 Aug
Fram
2 : 2
KA Akureyri
24 Aug
Breidablik
3 : 4
Fram
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)