Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aksakovo vs Olympic Varna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East game between Aksakovo and Olympic Varna finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aksakovo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Aksakovo
15%
Draws
0%
Olympic Varna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aksakovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Olympic Varna's 1.93 goals per match outpaces what Aksakovo have produced (1.4).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Aksakovo have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Aksakovo Clean Sheet 10%
Olympic Varna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aksakovo Olympic Varna
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.4 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.2 2.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs Olympic Varna
3:2
Apr 25, 2026 Third League - North-East
Olympic Varna vs Aksakovo
0:2
Oct 25, 2025 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs Olympic Varna
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aksakovo 29 / 100
Olympic Varna 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aksakovo Olympic Varna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aksakovo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olympic Varna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Olympic Varna lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Aksakovo scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Aksakovo VS Olympic Varna
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Aksakovo

(Home)
26 Sept
Aksakovo
3 : 2
Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Cherno More II
3 : 1
Aksakovo
05 Sept
Aksakovo
1 : 4
Chernomorets Balchik
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1
Aksakovo
26 Aug
Ludogorets III
6 : 1
Aksakovo
Page 1 of 6

Olympic Varna

(Away)
26 Sept
Aksakovo
3 : 2
Olympic Varna
20 Sept
Cherno More II
2 : 0
Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
4 : 3
Olympic Varna
05 Sept
Olympic Varna
1 : 3
Chernolomets
30 Aug
Ludogorets III
5 : 1
Olympic Varna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svetkavitsa 2014 8 5 1 2 14:5 16
2 Ludogorets III 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
3 Volov Shumen 7 5 1 1 24:6 16
4 Chernolomets 7 4 2 1 16:6 14
5 Chernomorets Balchik 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
6 Septemvri Tervel 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
7 Benkovski 5 3 1 1 13:6 10
8 Cherno More II 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
9 Botev Novi Pazar 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
10 FK Riltzi 7 3 0 4 8:15 9
11 Fratria II 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
12 Septemvri Dragoevo 7 2 2 3 12:17 8
13 Devnya 2005 7 2 0 4 8:12 9
14 Olympic Varna 7 2 0 5 15:21 6
15 Aksakovo 6 1 1 4 9:20 4
16 Ustrem Donchevo 8 0 1 7 13:26 1
17 Dorostol 6 0 0 5 2:18 0
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)