Sport Picks
Aksaray Bld. vs K. Istklalspor
Turkey
2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 
Match Events
36'
36'
Ruzgar K.
(Penalty)
39'
39'
Karahan B.
63'
63'
Kot S.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Aksaray Bld. in this 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aksaray Bld..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aksaray Bld.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to K. Istklalspor lately — more wins on the board than Aksaray Bld..
- Model gives Aksaray Bld. a 40% chance of winning this.
- Regular 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Aksaray Bld. Clean Sheet 20%
K. Istklalspor Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aksaray Bld. | K. Istklalspor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 11 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 2.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Aksaray Bld. vs K. Istklalspor
3:1
Oct 26, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
K. Istklalspor vs Aksaray Bld.
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aksaray Bld. Compare
Top Goalscorer Karahan B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Aksoy O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
K. Istklalspor Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aksaray Bld. 49 / 100
K. Istklalspor 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aksaray Bld. K. Istklalspor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aksaray Bld. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.50 goals.
Aksaray Bld. found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Aksaray Bld. went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
K. Istklalspor let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Aksaray Bld. VS K. Istklalspor
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Aksaray Bld.
(Home) 27 Sept
Musspor
3 : 2 Aksaray Bld.
20 Sept
Aksaray Bld.
1 : 1 Inegol Kafkas
13 Sept
Aksaray Bld.
3 : 0 Kastamonuspor
06 Sept
Soma Spor
3 : 3 Aksaray Bld.
25 Apr
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 3 Aksaray Bld.
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Aksaray Bld.
1 : 1 Inegol Kafkas
13 Sept
Aksaray Bld.
3 : 0 Kastamonuspor
19 Apr
Aksaray Bld.
1 : 1 Aliaga
04 Apr
Aksaray Bld.
2 : 2 Ankara Demirspor
24 Mar
Aksaray Bld.
0 : 2 Fethiyespor
Page 1 of 3
K. Istklalspor
(Away) 26 Sept
52 Orduspor
0 : 1 K. Istklalspor
20 Sept
K. Istklalspor
1 : 3 Sakaryaspor
13 Sept
24Erzincanspor
2 : 2 K. Istklalspor
06 Sept
K. Istklalspor
0 : 0 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
04 May
Mardin 1969
1 : 0 K. Istklalspor
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
52 Orduspor
0 : 1 K. Istklalspor
13 Sept
24Erzincanspor
2 : 2 K. Istklalspor
04 May
Mardin 1969
1 : 0 K. Istklalspor
25 Apr
Soma Spor
2 : 3 K. Istklalspor
12 Apr
Mardin 1969
2 : 1 K. Istklalspor
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bursaspor | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 87:19 | 80 |
| 2 | Mardin 1969 | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 67:25 | 71 |
| 3 | Musspor | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 82:35 | 70 |
| 4 | Aliaga | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 81:32 | 69 |
| 5 | K. Istklalspor | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 82:33 | 67 |
| 6 | Isparta 32 Spor | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 70:36 | 63 |
| 7 | Guzide Gebzespor | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 56:31 | 58 |
| 8 | Menemenspor | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 57:51 | 51 |
| 9 | Ankara Demirspor | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 47:47 | 49 |
| 10 | Aksaray Bld. | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 52:38 | 47 |
| 11 | Trabzon FK | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 54:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Arnavutkoy Bl. | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 40:36 | 46 |
| 13 | Fethiyespor | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52:41 | 44 |
| 14 | Kirklarelispor | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 44:49 | 36 |
| 15 | Soma Spor | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 41:68 | 30 |
| 16 | Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu | 33 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 22:97 | 12 |
| 17 | Adanaspor AS | 33 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 14:159 | 1 |
| 18 | Yeni Malatyaspor | 34 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 8:114 | -52 |
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