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Aksu vs Atyrau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League 2024 Centralnyj Stadion, Pavlodar
Sat, Jul 20, 2024
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aksu host Atyrau in the Premier League 2024. Little to choose between these two on current form. Atyrau have shipped 1.18 goals a game lately, while Aksu have conceded 2.75 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, Aksu have won 2 to Atyrau's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 20, 2024, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.97 xG vs 0.93) point toward Atyrau. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Aksu
15%
Draws
38%
Atyrau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aksu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atyrau come out ahead of Aksu on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Aksu's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Premier League 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Aksu Clean Sheet 20%
Atyrau Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aksu Atyrau
Matches Played 4 28
Wins 1 5
Draws 0 11
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 1.5 0.82
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2024 Premier League
Aksu vs Atyrau
0:0
May 11, 2024 Premier League
Atyrau vs Aksu
0:0
Aug 19, 2023 Premier League
Aksu vs Atyrau
4:1
Apr 23, 2023 Premier League
Atyrau vs Aksu
2:1
Nov 6, 2022 Premier League
Aksu vs Atyrau
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aksu 58 / 100
Atyrau 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aksu Atyrau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aksu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atyrau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Atyrau's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Aksu scored in 50% of their last 4 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Atyrau
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aksu

(Home)
19 Mar
FK Kyran
2 : 5
Aksu
13 Mar
Aksu
0 : 3
Zhetisay
26 Feb
Aksu
1 : 3
Tyumen
29 Oct
Aksu
0 : 3
Tobol

Atyrau

(Away)
17 Sept
Atyrau
0 : 3
Ordabasy
12 Sept
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 0
Atyrau
05 Sept
Kyzylzhar
0 : 1
Atyrau
30 Aug
Atyrau
2 : 3
FC Astana
16 Aug
Atyrau
0 : 2
Okzhetpes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kairat Almaty 24 14 5 5 39:21 47
2 FC Astana 24 14 4 6 39:19 46
3 Aktobe 24 12 7 5 39:26 43
4 Ordabasy 24 12 6 6 36:24 42
5 Tobol 24 11 6 7 33:23 39
6 Yelimay Semey 24 10 7 7 35:32 37
7 Atyrau 24 9 8 7 28:20 35
8 Kaisar Kyzylorda 24 9 7 8 28:29 34
9 Kyzylzhar 24 8 5 11 29:26 29
10 Zhenis 24 6 6 12 18:32 24
11 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 24 5 8 11 17:33 23
12 Turan 24 5 5 14 16:39 20
13 Shakhter Karagandy 24 2 4 18 12:45 10
14 Aksu 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2025 (Main)
Relegation - First League 2025 (Main)