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Aksu vs Atyrau

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League 2024 Centralnyj Stadion, Pavlodar
Sat, Jul 20, 2024
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aksu host Atyrau in the Premier League 2024. Little to choose between these two on current form. Atyrau have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while Aksu have conceded 0 and scored 0. Head-to-head, Aksu have won 2 to Atyrau's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 20, 2024, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.97 xG vs 1.11) point toward Atyrau. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Aksu
17%
Draws
13%
Atyrau
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Aksu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atyrau come out ahead of Aksu on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Aksu's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Premier League 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Aksu Clean Sheet 20%
Atyrau Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aksu Atyrau
Matches Played 4 26
Wins 1 5
Draws 0 11
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2024 Premier League
Aksu vs Atyrau
0:0
May 11, 2024 Premier League
Atyrau vs Aksu
0:0
Aug 19, 2023 Premier League
Aksu vs Atyrau
4:1
Apr 23, 2023 Premier League
Atyrau vs Aksu
2:1
Nov 6, 2022 Premier League
Aksu vs Atyrau
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aksu 67 / 100
Atyrau 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aksu Atyrau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atyrau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Atyrau's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Aksu scored in 50% of their last 4 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Atyrau
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aksu

(Home)
19 Mar
FK Kyran
2 : 5
Aksu
13 Mar
Aksu
0 : 3
Zhetisay
26 Feb
Aksu
1 : 3
Tyumen
29 Oct
Aksu
0 : 3
Tobol

Atyrau

(Away)
18 Jul
Atyrau
1 : 3
Kairat Almaty
05 Jul
Atyrau
1 : 2
Kaspij Aktau
27 Jun
Kaspij Aktau
2 : 0
Atyrau
21 Jun
Yelimay Semey
1 : 2
Atyrau
13 Jun
Kairat Almaty
1 : 1
Atyrau
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kairat Almaty24145539:2147
2FC Astana24144639:1946
3Aktobe24127539:2643
4Ordabasy24126636:2442
5Tobol24116733:2339
6Yelimay Semey24107735:3237
7Atyrau2498728:2035
8Kaisar Kyzylorda2497828:2934
9Kyzylzhar24851129:2629
10Zhenis24661218:3224
11Zhetysu Taldykorgan24581117:3323
12Turan24551416:3920
13Shakhter Karagandy24241812:4510
14Aksu00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2025 (Main)
Relegation - First League 2025 (Main)