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Aksu vs Zhenis

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League 2024 Centralnyj Stadion, Pavlodar
Sat, Aug 17, 2024
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aksu host Zhenis in the Premier League 2024. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Aksu at 1.5 goals for, 2.75 against; Zhenis at 1.47 for, 1.33 against. Head-to-head, Aksu have won 0 to Zhenis's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 17, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.17 - 0.99) back Zhenis to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Aksu
15%
Draws
52%
Zhenis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zhenis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zhenis lately — more wins on the board than Aksu.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Aksu taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Aksu Clean Sheet 20%
Zhenis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aksu Zhenis
Matches Played 4 30
Wins 1 13
Draws 0 7
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2024 Premier League
Aksu vs Zhenis
0:0
Jun 29, 2024 Premier League
Zhenis vs Aksu
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aksu 49 / 100
Zhenis 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aksu Zhenis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aksu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Zhenis conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Zhenis lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Aksu's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 4 recent games.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Zhenis
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aksu

(Home)
19 Mar
FK Kyran
2 : 5
Aksu
13 Mar
Aksu
0 : 3
Zhetisay
26 Feb
Aksu
1 : 3
Tyumen
29 Oct
Aksu
0 : 3
Tobol

Zhenis

(Away)
18 Sept
Okzhetpes
3 : 1
Zhenis
12 Sept
Zhenis
3 : 1
Kyzylzhar
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0
Zhenis
05 Sept
Aktobe
1 : 0
Zhenis
29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0
Altai
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kairat Almaty 24 14 5 5 39:21 47
2 FC Astana 24 14 4 6 39:19 46
3 Aktobe 24 12 7 5 39:26 43
4 Ordabasy 24 12 6 6 36:24 42
5 Tobol 24 11 6 7 33:23 39
6 Yelimay Semey 24 10 7 7 35:32 37
7 Atyrau 24 9 8 7 28:20 35
8 Kaisar Kyzylorda 24 9 7 8 28:29 34
9 Kyzylzhar 24 8 5 11 29:26 29
10 Zhenis 24 6 6 12 18:32 24
11 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 24 5 8 11 17:33 23
12 Turan 24 5 5 14 16:39 20
13 Shakhter Karagandy 24 2 4 18 12:45 10
14 Aksu 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2025 (Main)
Relegation - First League 2025 (Main)