Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First League

Aktobe 2

3 - 1

Arys

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Saduakas M.

51'

Begimov A.

Assist: Kenzhegulov A.

66'

Kenzhegulov A.

Assist: Umaniyazov M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aktobe 2 in this First League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aktobe 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Aktobe 2

28%

Draws

22%

Arys

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Aktobe 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Aktobe 2 have won more games recently than Arys.
50% — that's where the model lands on Aktobe 2 taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 82%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%

Aktobe 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Arys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aktobe 2	Arys
Matches Played	32	29
Wins	8	6
Draws	8	2
Losses	16	21
Goals Scored	1.88	1.13
Goals Conceded	3.25	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.25	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2026 First League

Aktobe 2 vs Arys

Possession: 43% - 54% Cards: 2 - 2

3:1

Sep 20, 2024 First League

Aktobe 2 vs Arys

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 0 - 4

0:1

May 3, 2024 First League

Arys vs Aktobe 2

Possession: 48% - 54% Cards: 2 - 0

2:3

Oct 7, 2023 First League

Arys vs Aktobe 2

Possession: 52% - 49% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Jun 30, 2023 First League

Aktobe 2 vs Arys

Possession: 57% - 50% Cards: 3 - 2

5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aktobe 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kenzhegulov A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Begimov A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Arys Compare

Top Goalscorer Saduakas M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aktobe 2 47 / 100

Arys 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aktobe 2 Arys

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKT Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Arys conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Aktobe 2 scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Aktobe 2 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aktobe 2 VS Arys

1.88 Goals Scored 1.13

3.25 Goals Conceded 1.88

100% Over 1.5 88%

88% Over 2.5 75%

88% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Shakhter Karagandy	14	12	1	1	38:5	37
2	Kairat Almaty 2	13	11	2	0	44:7	35
3	Turan	14	9	1	4	29:11	28
4	FC Astana 2	13	6	2	5	24:22	20
5	Akademiya Ontustik	13	6	2	5	19:17	20
6	Jaiyq	13	6	1	6	11:17	19
7	Taraz	14	5	2	7	20:20	17
8	Khan Tengri	14	5	2	7	18:26	17
9	FC Ekibastuz	14	4	5	5	17:26	17
10	Aktobe 2	14	4	5	5	27:40	17
11	Kaspij Aktau 2	13	4	3	6	16:22	15
12	Arys	14	3	1	10	15:32	10
13	Yelimay Semey 2	14	2	3	9	11:27	9
14	Tobol 2	13	1	4	8	21:38	7