Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First Division 2023

Aktobe 2

4 - 1

FC Astana 2

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Zhumabekov S.

(Penalty)

50'

Andyrmash D.

54'

Amangali I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aktobe 2 in this First Division 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aktobe 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Aktobe 2

28%

Draws

50%

FC Astana 2

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: FC Astana 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

FC Astana 2 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Aktobe 2.
Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for FC Astana 2.
League standings and seasonal metrics in First Division 2023 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 87%

Over 3.5 Goals 63%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Aktobe 2 Clean Sheet 10%

FC Astana 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aktobe 2	FC Astana 2
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	9	11
Draws	7	2
Losses	18	17
Goals Scored	1.88	2.38
Goals Conceded	3.25	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.25	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 First League

FC Astana 2 vs Aktobe 2

Possession: 54% - 50% Cards: 4 - 3

2:2

Oct 31, 2023 First League

Aktobe 2 vs FC Astana 2

Possession: 42% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

4:1

Apr 7, 2023 First League

FC Astana 2 vs Aktobe 2

Possession: 50% - 46% Cards: 3 - 1

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aktobe 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Andyrmash D.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Amangali I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

FC Astana 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16

Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aktobe 2 22 / 100

FC Astana 2 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aktobe 2 FC Astana 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AST Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aktobe 2 scored in 68% of their last 34 games.

FC Astana 2 let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Aktobe 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Astana 2 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aktobe 2 VS FC Astana 2

1.88 Goals Scored 2.38

3.25 Goals Conceded 1.75

100% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 88%

88% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Yelimay Semey	28	24	4	0	76:17	76
2	Turan	28	22	3	3	85:27	69
3	Zhenis	28	19	3	6	64:33	60
4	Akzhayik Uralsk	28	17	3	8	63:29	54
5	FK Kyran	28	16	2	10	55:57	50
6	Kairat Almaty 2	28	10	5	13	58:53	35
7	Khan Tengri	28	10	5	13	39:38	35
8	Arys	28	10	3	15	40:62	33
9	Jas Qyran	28	9	5	14	50:53	32
10	Turkistan	28	9	5	14	47:58	32
11	Taraz	28	9	4	15	47:57	31
12	FC Ekibastuz	28	8	7	13	46:64	31
13	Aktobe 2	28	7	2	19	37:77	23
14	Akademiya Ontustik	28	5	6	17	46:75	21
15	FC Astana 2	28	6	1	21	32:85	19