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Aktobe 2 vs Jaiyq - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Aktobe 2 Logo

Aktobe 2

1 - 0
FT
Jaiyq Logo

Jaiyq

Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Begimov A.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aktobe 2 in this First League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aktobe 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Aktobe 2
30%
Draws
39%
Jaiyq
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jaiyq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Aktobe 2 average 1.93 goals a game right now, well clear of Jaiyq's 0.92.
  • Jaiyq are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Aktobe 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Jaiyq Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aktobe 2 Jaiyq
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.93 0.92
Goals Conceded 2.86 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 First League
Aktobe 2 vs Jaiyq
1:0
May 27, 2026 First League
Jaiyq vs Aktobe 2
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aktobe 2 26 / 100
Jaiyq 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aktobe 2 Jaiyq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaiyq Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aktobe 2 scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Jaiyq's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 24 matches.

Aktobe 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aktobe 2 VS Jaiyq
1.25 Goals Scored 1
3.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aktobe 2

(Home)
08 Oct
Aktobe 2
4 : 4
Tobol 2
17 Sept
Arys
4 : 1
Aktobe 2
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3
Turan
03 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
2 : 1
Aktobe 2
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
Page 1 of 6

Jaiyq

(Away)
17 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
0 : 0
Jaiyq
11 Sept
Jaiyq
1 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
04 Sept
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Yelimay Semey 2
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
21 Aug
Jaiyq
0 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
11 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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