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Aktobe 2 vs SD Family - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League 2025 Odyushor no.8, Aktobe
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Umaniyazov M.
3' Event
Berezutskiy A.
Assist: Erkinbay Z.
11'
Abdullaev B.

AI Match Summary

SD Family in this First League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored SD Family.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Aktobe 2
15%
Draws
0%
SD Family
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aktobe 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aktobe 2 lately — more wins on the board than SD Family.
  • Win probability leans Aktobe 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and SD Family have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Aktobe 2 Clean Sheet 10%
SD Family Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aktobe 2 SD Family
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 2
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.9 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.87 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2025 First League
SD Family vs Aktobe 2
2:7
Jul 10, 2025 First League
Aktobe 2 vs SD Family
1:3
Sep 13, 2024 First League
SD Family vs Aktobe 2
4:0
May 16, 2024 First League
Aktobe 2 vs SD Family
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aktobe 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Umaniyazov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

SD Family Compare

Top Goalscorer Berezutskiy A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Khadzh N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aktobe 2 83 / 100
SD Family 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aktobe 2 SD Family

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aktobe 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aktobe 2 found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

SD Family's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

SD Family's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aktobe 2 VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
3.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
100% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aktobe 2

(Home)
08 Oct
Aktobe 2
4 : 4
Tobol 2
17 Sept
Arys
4 : 1
Aktobe 2
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3
Turan
03 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
2 : 1
Aktobe 2
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
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SD Family

(Away)
09 Apr
SD Family
:
Ertis Pavlodar
24 Oct
Kairat Almaty 2
5 : 1
SD Family
17 Oct
SD Family
2 : 7
Aktobe 2
02 Oct
FC Ekibastuz
3 : 2
SD Family
25 Sept
SD Family
2 : 7
Ertis Pavlodar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kaspij Aktau 26 22 2 2 74:27 68
2 Ertis Pavlodar 26 19 4 3 71:20 61
3 Altai 26 17 4 5 54:23 55
4 Shakhter Karagandy 26 16 5 5 61:34 53
5 Zhetisay 26 13 3 10 44:35 42
6 Kairat Almaty 2 26 12 4 10 58:42 40
7 Akademiya Ontustik 26 12 3 11 44:44 39
8 Taraz 26 10 5 11 43:38 35
9 AKAS 26 10 3 13 42:39 33
10 FC Ekibastuz 26 8 4 14 36:60 28
11 SD Family 26 7 2 17 33:75 23
12 Khan Tengri 26 5 3 18 27:55 18
13 Aktobe 2 26 3 7 16 34:65 16
14 Turkistan 26 2 3 21 16:80 9
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