Sport Picks

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Aktobe 2 vs Turan

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Oralbay E.
Assist: Kenesov A.
27' Event
Saidov E.
Assist: Oralbay E.
33' Event
Muratov D.
Assist: Begimov A.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between Aktobe 2 and Turan finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Aktobe 2
15%
Draws
57%
Turan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Turan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Turan's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Turan have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Aktobe 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Turan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aktobe 2 Turan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 17
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.8 2.1
Goals Conceded 2.8 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 First League
Aktobe 2 vs Turan
1:3
Jun 18, 2026 First League
Turan vs Aktobe 2
4:0
Aug 4, 2023 First League
Turan vs Aktobe 2
7:1
Apr 27, 2023 First League
Aktobe 2 vs Turan
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aktobe 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Muratov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Turan Compare

Top Goalscorer Oralbay E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saidov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aktobe 2 18 / 100
Turan 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aktobe 2 Turan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aktobe 2 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 5.75 goals per match.

Turan has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Aktobe 2 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aktobe 2 VS Turan
1.25 Goals Scored 2
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aktobe 2

(Home)
17 Sept
Arys
4 : 1
Aktobe 2
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3
Turan
03 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
2 : 1
Aktobe 2
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
20 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 5
Aktobe 2
Page 1 of 6

Turan

(Away)
18 Sept
Turan
4 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3
Turan
04 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
0 : 3
Turan
27 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Turan
21 Aug
Turan
0 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 23 20 2 1 64:8 62
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 23 13 4 6 36:27 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 29:41 25
10 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
11 Arys 23 7 3 13 29:43 24
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 40:57 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 3 3 17 17:47 12
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