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Akwa United vs Kogi United

Nigeria Nigeria

Aiteo Cup 2022 Godswill Akpabio International Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Jerome J.
67' Event
Ubong F.
84' Event
Abdulwahab J.

AI Match Summary

Kogi United in this Aiteo Cup 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kogi United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Akwa United
6%
Draws
4%
Kogi United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Akwa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Akwa United lately — more wins on the board than Kogi United.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Akwa United taking it.
  • Cup games in Aiteo Cup 2022 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Akwa United Clean Sheet 20%
Kogi United Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akwa United Kogi United
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 3 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2022 Federation Cup
Akwa United vs Kogi United
1:2
Sep 26, 2018 Federation Cup
Kogi United vs Akwa United
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akwa United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ubong F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Kogi United Compare

Top Goalscorer Jerome J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdulwahab J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akwa United 85 / 100
Kogi United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akwa United Kogi United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Akwa United scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Kogi United has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Akwa United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Akwa United VS Kogi United
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Bayelsa United0
Green Beret1
Enyimba International0
Niger Tornadoes1
Doma United0
Lobi3
Akure City2
Bendel Feeders1
Rangers International1
Heartland FC2
TBD-
Dakkada FC-
Sunshine Stars5
Rovers FC1
Cynosure1
Katsina Utd3
Fulfill0
El Kanemi Warriors1
Kwara1
Wikki Tourists2
Bendel2
Ottasolo1
Sokoto United1
Nasarawa United2
Remo Stars0
Akwa United3
Kogi United3
Kanta2
DMD1
Housing CPT0
Zamfara United0
Kano Pillars5
1/8-finals
Green Beret0
Niger Tornadoes1
Lobi1
Akure City0
Heartland FC2
Dakkada FC1
Sunshine Stars1
Katsina Utd2
El Kanemi Warriors0
Wikki Tourists1
Bendel1
Nasarawa United2
Akwa United1
Kogi United2
DMD0
Kano Pillars2
Quarter-finals
Niger Tornadoes-
Lobi-
Heartland FC1
Katsina Utd0
Wikki Tourists-
Nasarawa United-
Kogi United-
Kano Pillars-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-