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Stadium Background

Akwa United vs Kogi United

Nigeria Nigeria

Aiteo Cup 2022 Godswill Akpabio International Stadium, Uyo
Akwa United Logo

Akwa United

1 - 2
FT
Kogi United Logo

Kogi United

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Jerome J.
67' Event
Ubong F.
84' Event
Abdulwahab J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kogi United in this Aiteo Cup 2022 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Akwa United
15%
Draws
26%
Kogi United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Akwa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Akwa United lately — more wins on the board than Kogi United.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Akwa United taking it.
  • Akwa United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kogi United, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Akwa United Clean Sheet 20%
Kogi United Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akwa United Kogi United
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 16 9
Draws 3 10
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.22 0.82
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2022 Federation Cup
Akwa United vs Kogi United
1:2
Sep 26, 2018 Federation Cup
Kogi United vs Akwa United
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akwa United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ubong F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Kogi United Compare

Top Goalscorer Jerome J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdulwahab J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akwa United 85 / 100
Kogi United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akwa United Kogi United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Akwa United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Akwa United's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Kogi United has conceded goals in 73% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Akwa United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Akwa United VS Kogi United
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Akwa United

(Home)
01 Jun
El Kanemi Warriors
2 : 1
Akwa United
16 Apr
Solution
1 : 2
Akwa United
04 Apr
Abakaliki
1 : 0
Akwa United
29 Mar
Akwa United
3 : 1
Ekiti United
26 Mar
Godswill Akpabio
0 : 0
Akwa United
Page 1 of 7

Kogi United

(Away)
01 Jun
Kogi United
0 : 1
Plateau United
10 Jun
Hypebuzz
4 : 0
Kogi United
20 May
Mighty Jets
1 : 0
Kogi United
13 May
Kogi United
1 : 0
Abubakar Bukola Saraki
07 May
Mailantarki Care
3 : 1
Kogi United
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Bayelsa United 0
Green Beret 1
Enyimba International 0
Niger Tornadoes 1
Doma United 0
Lobi 3
Akure City 2
Bendel Feeders 1
Rangers International 1
Heartland FC 2
TBD -
Dakkada FC -
Sunshine Stars 5
Rovers FC 1
Cynosure 1
Katsina Utd 3
Fulfill 0
El Kanemi Warriors 1
Kwara 1
Wikki Tourists 2
Bendel 2
Ottasolo 1
Sokoto United 1
Nasarawa United 2
Remo Stars 0
Akwa United 3
Kogi United 3
Kanta 2
DMD 1
Housing CPT 0
Zamfara United 0
Kano Pillars 5
1/8-finals
Green Beret 0
Niger Tornadoes 1
Lobi 1
Akure City 0
Heartland FC 2
Dakkada FC 1
Sunshine Stars 1
Katsina Utd 2
El Kanemi Warriors 0
Wikki Tourists 1
Bendel 1
Nasarawa United 2
Akwa United 1
Kogi United 2
DMD 0
Kano Pillars 2
Quarter-finals
Niger Tornadoes -
Lobi -
Heartland FC 1
Katsina Utd 0
Wikki Tourists -
Nasarawa United -
Kogi United -
Kano Pillars -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -