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Akwa United vs Osun United

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL Godswill Akpabio International Stadium
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AI Match Summary

The NNL game between Akwa United and Osun United finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Akwa United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Akwa United
11%
Draws
9%
Osun United
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Akwa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Osun United haven't matched Akwa United's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Akwa United a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Akwa United Clean Sheet 20%
Osun United Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akwa United Osun United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 3 3
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 NNL
Osun United vs Akwa United
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 NNL
Akwa United vs Osun United
1:0
Jan 30, 2008 NPFL
Akwa United vs Osun United
1:0
Jan 12, 2008 NPFL
Osun United vs Akwa United
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akwa United 76 / 100
Osun United 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akwa United Osun United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Akwa United scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Osun United let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Akwa United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Osun United's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Akwa United VS Osun United
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

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PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sporting Lagos18113431:1436
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9Osun United18621016:2420
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