Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Akwa United vs Osun United

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL Godswill Akpabio International Stadium, Uyo
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NNL game between Akwa United and Osun United finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Akwa United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Akwa United
15%
Draws
26%
Osun United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Akwa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Osun United haven't matched Akwa United's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Akwa United a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Akwa United Clean Sheet 20%
Osun United Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akwa United Osun United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 3 3
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.23 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 NNL
Osun United vs Akwa United
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 NNL
Akwa United vs Osun United
1:0
Jan 30, 2008 NPFL
Akwa United vs Osun United
1:0
Jan 12, 2008 NPFL
Osun United vs Akwa United
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akwa United 76 / 100
Osun United 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akwa United Osun United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Akwa United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Akwa United scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Osun United let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Akwa United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Osun United's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Akwa United VS Osun United
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Akwa United

(Home)
01 Jun
El Kanemi Warriors
2 : 1
Akwa United
16 Apr
Solution
1 : 2
Akwa United
04 Apr
Abakaliki
1 : 0
Akwa United
29 Mar
Akwa United
3 : 1
Ekiti United
26 Mar
Godswill Akpabio
0 : 0
Akwa United
Page 1 of 6

Osun United

(Away)
16 Apr
Osun United
0 : 1
Sporting Lagos
04 Apr
Osun United
2 : 1
Solution
28 Mar
First Bank
2 : 0
Osun United
25 Mar
Osun United
0 : 1
Stormers
14 Mar
Rovers FC
2 : 0
Osun United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Lagos 16 8 5 3 26:13 29
2 Beyond Limits FC 16 7 7 2 23:13 28
3 Heartland FC 16 8 3 5 21:17 27
4 Smart City 16 8 3 5 21:19 27
5 Sunshine Stars 16 7 4 5 18:14 25
6 Edel FC 16 6 2 8 14:20 20
7 Crown FC 16 4 4 8 18:19 16
8 Abia Comets 16 4 3 9 16:31 15
9 Gateway United 16 3 3 10 13:24 12
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Lagos 18 11 3 4 31:14 36
2 Akwa United 18 11 2 5 23:13 35
3 Ekiti United 18 10 0 8 21:17 30
4 Stormers 18 8 2 8 24:26 26
5 Abakaliki 18 7 4 7 19:17 25
6 Solution 18 8 1 9 18:22 25
7 Godswill Akpabio 18 6 6 6 27:24 24
8 Rovers FC 18 7 1 10 15:21 22
9 Osun United 18 6 2 10 16:24 20
10 First Bank 18 4 3 11 15:31 15
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doma United 14 8 2 4 18:11 26
2 Lobi 14 7 2 5 12:10 23
3 Basira 14 6 3 5 17:14 21
4 Kada Warriors 14 5 5 4 11:9 20
5 Sokoto United 14 5 3 6 9:11 18
6 ABS 14 5 2 7 10:16 17
7 Mighty Jets 14 5 1 8 14:16 16
8 City FC Abuja 14 4 4 6 10:14 16
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ranchers Bees 12 6 2 4 11:9 20
2 Adamawa Utd 12 6 0 6 12:11 18
3 Jigawa Golden Stars 12 5 3 4 12:15 18
4 Yobe Stars 12 5 2 5 14:13 17
5 Kebbi 12 5 1 6 11:11 16
6 Bichi First 12 4 3 5 11:9 15
7 Gombe 12 4 3 5 8:11 15
8 Sporting Supreme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)