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Akzhayik Uralsk vs Aktobe 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2024 Atoyan Stadium, Oral
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Zhumagaliev A.
33'
Shamsheden B.
45'
Kenzhegulov A.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2024 game between Akzhayik Uralsk and Aktobe 2 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Akzhayik Uralsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Akzhayik Uralsk
15%
Draws
34%
Aktobe 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Akzhayik Uralsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Aktobe 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Akzhayik Uralsk are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Akzhayik Uralsk here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Akzhayik Uralsk Clean Sheet 12%
Aktobe 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akzhayik Uralsk Aktobe 2
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 7 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 0.86 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.96 2.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2024 First League
Akzhayik Uralsk vs Aktobe 2
1:0
Jul 12, 2024 First League
Aktobe 2 vs Akzhayik Uralsk
3:0
Oct 24, 2023 First League
Akzhayik Uralsk vs Aktobe 2
3:1
Jul 13, 2023 First League
Aktobe 2 vs Akzhayik Uralsk
0:1
Sep 20, 2011 First League
Aktobe 2 vs Akzhayik Uralsk
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akzhayik Uralsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Murat E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.15

Aktobe 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akzhayik Uralsk 35 / 100
Aktobe 2 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akzhayik Uralsk Aktobe 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aktobe 2 has conceded goals in 89% of their last 35 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Aktobe 2 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Akzhayik Uralsk scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aktobe 2
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 3.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Akzhayik Uralsk

(Home)
25 Oct
FC Ekibastuz
3 : 0
Akzhayik Uralsk
17 Oct
Akzhayik Uralsk
0 : 3
Ulytau
11 Oct
Akzhayik Uralsk
1 : 0
Aktobe 2
03 Oct
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 0
Akzhayik Uralsk
27 Sept
Arys
0 : 1
Akzhayik Uralsk
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Aktobe 2

(Away)
08 Oct
Aktobe 2
4 : 4
Tobol 2
17 Sept
Arys
4 : 1
Aktobe 2
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3
Turan
03 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
2 : 1
Aktobe 2
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Okzhetpes 28 20 3 5 61:16 63
2 Ulytau 28 19 3 6 69:29 60
3 Kaspij Aktau 28 18 4 6 63:29 58
4 Kairat Almaty 2 28 18 3 7 67:43 57
5 Khan Tengri 28 17 4 7 55:30 55
6 FC Ekibastuz 28 16 3 9 54:36 51
7 Zhetisay 28 14 6 8 50:37 48
8 Taraz 28 12 5 11 37:34 41
9 Altai 28 11 5 12 31:37 38
10 SD Family 28 9 4 15 53:64 31
11 Akzhayik Uralsk 28 7 3 18 24:48 24
12 Kaisar Kyzylorda 2 28 5 7 16 23:56 22
13 Turkistan 28 4 7 17 26:70 19
14 Aktobe 2 28 3 3 22 25:73 12
15 Arys 28 5 4 19 28:64 10
16 FK Kyran 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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