Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Akzhayik Uralsk vs Kyzylzhar

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Cup Atoyan Stadium, Oral
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Kubashev C.
40' Event
Zhaksybaev U.
Own Goal
46'
Sub
Saulet A. In: Jovancic D.
Out: Saulet A.

AI Match Summary

Akzhayik Uralsk in this League Cup tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Akzhayik Uralsk
30%
Draws
34%
Kyzylzhar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Akzhayik Uralsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Akzhayik Uralsk haven't matched Kyzylzhar's recent run of results.
  • Akzhayik Uralsk are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Kyzylzhar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Akzhayik Uralsk, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Akzhayik Uralsk Clean Sheet 20%
Kyzylzhar Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akzhayik Uralsk Kyzylzhar
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2024 League Cup
Akzhayik Uralsk vs Kyzylzhar
2:1
Oct 23, 2022 Premier League
Akzhayik Uralsk vs Kyzylzhar
2:2
Jul 31, 2022 Kazakhstan Cup
Kyzylzhar vs Akzhayik Uralsk
0:2
Jul 24, 2022 Kazakhstan Cup
Akzhayik Uralsk vs Kyzylzhar
1:0
May 22, 2022 Premier League
Kyzylzhar vs Akzhayik Uralsk
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akzhayik Uralsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Kubashev C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Kyzylzhar Compare

Top Goalscorer Sebai S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akzhayik Uralsk 36 / 100
Kyzylzhar 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akzhayik Uralsk Kyzylzhar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kyzylzhar has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Kyzylzhar lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Akzhayik Uralsk found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Kyzylzhar
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Akzhayik Uralsk

(Home)
25 Oct
FC Ekibastuz
3 : 0
Akzhayik Uralsk
17 Oct
Akzhayik Uralsk
0 : 3
Ulytau
11 Oct
Akzhayik Uralsk
1 : 0
Aktobe 2
03 Oct
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 0
Akzhayik Uralsk
27 Sept
Arys
0 : 1
Akzhayik Uralsk
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Kyzylzhar

(Away)
18 Jul
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1
Tobol
04 Jul
Kyzylzhar
0 : 1
Yelimay Semey
27 Jun
Yelimay Semey
2 : 0
Kyzylzhar
21 Jun
Kyzylzhar
2 : 4
Kairat Almaty
17 Jun
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0
Kyzylzhar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kairat Almaty321013:17
2Kyzylzhar31114:44
3Taraz31023:63
4Akzhayik Uralsk31023:123
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zhenis32014:26
2Aktobe32014:36
3Kaisar Kyzylorda31025:43
4Tobol31023:73
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Yelimay Semey32108:27
2Atyrau31112:34
3Ordabasy30304:43
4Turan30122:71
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Astana320110:46
2Kaspij Aktau32013:66
3Zhetysu Taldykorgan31024:53
4Shakhter Karagandy31024:63
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)