Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First Division 2006

Ordabasy 2

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Akzhayik Uralsk play Ordabasy 2 in the First Division 2006. Akzhayik Uralsk are favorites here. Recently, Akzhayik Uralsk averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.49 conceded. Ordabasy 2 averaged 1.32 goals scored and 2.76 conceded. In past meetings, Akzhayik Uralsk won 4, Ordabasy 2 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 19, 2007 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Akzhayik Uralsk and 1.56 for Ordabasy 2. This points to a Akzhayik Uralsk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Akzhayik Uralsk

15%

Draws

25%

Ordabasy 2

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Akzhayik Uralsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence

Akzhayik Uralsk picked up more points recently compared to Ordabasy 2.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 68%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Akzhayik Uralsk Clean Sheet 15%

Ordabasy 2 Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Akzhayik Uralsk	Ordabasy 2
Matches Played	47	34
Wins	20	8
Draws	5	4
Losses	22	22
Goals Scored	1.6	1.32
Goals Conceded	1.49	2.76

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2007 First League

Akzhayik Uralsk vs Ordabasy 2

Possession: 56% - 59% Cards: 4 - 1

3:1

May 4, 2007 First League

Ordabasy 2 vs Akzhayik Uralsk

Possession: 48% - 55% Cards: 2 - 0

2:4

Oct 8, 2006 First League

Akzhayik Uralsk vs Ordabasy 2

Possession: 52% - 43% Cards: 3 - 4

10:0

May 7, 2006 First League

Ordabasy 2 vs Akzhayik Uralsk

Possession: 57% - 48% Cards: 3 - 2

0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akzhayik Uralsk 57 / 100

Ordabasy 2 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Akzhayik Uralsk Ordabasy 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Akzhayik Uralsk Win (1)

Secondary Pick Akzhayik Uralsk & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.2%

1.92

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.5%

1.61

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Akzhayik Uralsk attacking → ← attacking Ordabasy 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Akzhayik Uralsk scored in 68% of their last 47 games.

Ordabasy 2 let in goals in 88% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Akzhayik Uralsk went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ordabasy 2 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 28

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zhetysu Taldykorgan	26	25	1	0	119:14	76
2	Kaspij Aktau	26	19	3	4	63:20	60
3	Gornyak Khromtay	26	17	1	8	40:25	52
4	Cesna Almaty	26	16	4	6	64:30	52
5	Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty	26	15	5	6	39:25	50
6	Akzhayik Uralsk	26	16	1	9	56:31	49
7	Zhambyl Taraz	26	9	8	9	35:30	35
8	Aktobe 2	26	10	3	13	43:50	33
9	Munaily Atyrau	26	6	7	13	25:48	25
10	Ordabasy 2	26	7	3	16	34:65	24
11	Koksu	26	6	2	18	32:59	20
12	AI-Universitet	26	5	4	17	29:57	19
13	Kaisar Kyzylorda 2	26	4	3	19	23:71	15
14	Zhastar Uralsk	26	3	3	20	12:89	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Avangard Petropavlovsk	24	16	3	5	39:19	51
2	Asbest Zitikara	24	15	5	4	37:17	50
3	Shakhter Karagandy 2	24	12	8	4	25:12	44
4	Spartak Semey	24	12	7	5	46:25	43
5	Kazakhmys	24	12	5	7	36:35	41
6	Shakhter Yunost	24	11	5	8	41:25	38
7	Aksu	24	10	6	8	32:28	36
8	Ertis Pavlodar 2	24	10	4	10	38:28	34
9	Rakhat Astana	24	9	6	9	27:26	33
10	Vostok Oskemen 2	24	9	5	10	33:37	32
11	Tobol 2	24	4	4	16	20:41	16
12	Energetik Pavlodar 2	24	4	2	18	17:47	14
13	Batyr Ekibastuz	24	2	0	22	13:64	6