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Akzhayik Uralsk vs Taraz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Cup Atoyan Stadium, Oral
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Mukanbetzhanov A.
35' Event
Antipov I.
46'
Sub
Kemelbek S. In: Serikuly D.
Out: Kemelbek S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Akzhayik Uralsk
30%
Draws
35%
Taraz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Akzhayik Uralsk haven't matched Taraz's recent run of results.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Taraz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Taraz, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Akzhayik Uralsk Clean Sheet 19%
Taraz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akzhayik Uralsk Taraz
Matches Played 28 38
Wins 7 16
Draws 3 8
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.86 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2024 First League
Akzhayik Uralsk vs Taraz
1:2
Jul 7, 2024 League Cup
Akzhayik Uralsk vs Taraz
1:2
May 2, 2024 First League
Taraz vs Akzhayik Uralsk
3:1
Oct 3, 2023 First League
Taraz vs Akzhayik Uralsk
1:3
Jun 23, 2023 First League
Akzhayik Uralsk vs Taraz
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akzhayik Uralsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Antipov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Taraz Compare

Top Goalscorer Mukanbetzhanov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khaytmuratov U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akzhayik Uralsk 32 / 100
Taraz 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akzhayik Uralsk Taraz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taraz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Taraz conceded in 76% of 38 recent games.

Akzhayik Uralsk's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Akzhayik Uralsk remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Taraz
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Akzhayik Uralsk

(Home)
25 Oct
FC Ekibastuz
3 : 0
Akzhayik Uralsk
17 Oct
Akzhayik Uralsk
0 : 3
Ulytau
11 Oct
Akzhayik Uralsk
1 : 0
Aktobe 2
03 Oct
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 0
Akzhayik Uralsk
27 Sept
Arys
0 : 1
Akzhayik Uralsk
Page 1 of 6

Taraz

(Away)
17 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
0 : 0
Taraz
11 Sept
Taraz
3 : 3
Khan Tengri
03 Sept
FC Astana 2
4 : 0
Taraz
28 Aug
Taraz
3 : 1
Tobol 2
20 Aug
Arys
1 : 1
Taraz
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kairat Almaty 3 2 1 0 13:1 7
2 Kyzylzhar 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Taraz 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Akzhayik Uralsk 3 1 0 2 3:12 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zhenis 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 Aktobe 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Kaisar Kyzylorda 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
4 Tobol 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yelimay Semey 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
2 Atyrau 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
3 Ordabasy 3 0 3 0 4:4 3
4 Turan 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Astana 3 2 0 1 10:4 6
2 Kaspij Aktau 3 2 0 1 3:6 6
3 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Shakhter Karagandy 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)