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Akzhayik Uralsk vs Ulytau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2024 Atoyan Stadium, Oral
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Moldakaraev Z.
12' Event
Slambekov D.
34' Event
Moldakaraev Z.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2024 game between Akzhayik Uralsk and Ulytau finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ulytau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Akzhayik Uralsk
15%
Draws
34%
Ulytau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Akzhayik Uralsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ulytau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular First Division 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Akzhayik Uralsk Clean Sheet 20%
Ulytau Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akzhayik Uralsk Ulytau
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 3 9
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.86 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2024 First League
Akzhayik Uralsk vs Ulytau
0:3
Apr 12, 2024 First League
Ulytau vs Akzhayik Uralsk
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akzhayik Uralsk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Ulytau Compare

Top Goalscorer Moldakaraev Z.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Slambekov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akzhayik Uralsk 32 / 100
Ulytau 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akzhayik Uralsk Ulytau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulytau has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Ulytau has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Akzhayik Uralsk scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ulytau
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Akzhayik Uralsk

(Home)
25 Oct
FC Ekibastuz
3 : 0
Akzhayik Uralsk
17 Oct
Akzhayik Uralsk
0 : 3
Ulytau
11 Oct
Akzhayik Uralsk
1 : 0
Aktobe 2
03 Oct
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 0
Akzhayik Uralsk
27 Sept
Arys
0 : 1
Akzhayik Uralsk
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Ulytau

(Away)
18 Sept
Aktobe
2 : 2
Ulytau
13 Sept
Ulytau
0 : 3
Altai
06 Sept
Tobol
3 : 1
Ulytau
29 Aug
Ulytau
3 : 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
15 Aug
Kairat Almaty
3 : 1
Ulytau
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Okzhetpes 28 20 3 5 61:16 63
2 Ulytau 28 19 3 6 69:29 60
3 Kaspij Aktau 28 18 4 6 63:29 58
4 Kairat Almaty 2 28 18 3 7 67:43 57
5 Khan Tengri 28 17 4 7 55:30 55
6 FC Ekibastuz 28 16 3 9 54:36 51
7 Zhetisay 28 14 6 8 50:37 48
8 Taraz 28 12 5 11 37:34 41
9 Altai 28 11 5 12 31:37 38
10 SD Family 28 9 4 15 53:64 31
11 Akzhayik Uralsk 28 7 3 18 24:48 24
12 Kaisar Kyzylorda 2 28 5 7 16 23:56 22
13 Turkistan 28 4 7 17 26:70 19
14 Aktobe 2 28 3 3 22 25:73 12
15 Arys 28 5 4 19 28:64 10
16 FK Kyran 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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