Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Adalah vs Al Fayha

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

King Cup Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium, Al Ahsa
Al Adalah Logo

Al Adalah

0 - 2
FT
Al Fayha Logo

Al Fayha

Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Hugo Moura
Assist: Al Baqawi M.
45' Event
Hugo Moura
Assist: Sakala F.
61'
Sub
Enad R. In: Al Beshe M.
Out: Enad R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Al Adalah
35%
Draws
30%
Al Fayha
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Al Adalah's 1.41 goals per match outpaces what Al Fayha have produced (1.24).
  • Model gives Al Adalah a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Fayha, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Al Adalah Clean Sheet 20%
Al Fayha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Adalah Al Fayha
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.41 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 King Cup
Al Adalah vs Al Fayha
0:2
Mar 17, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Al Fayha vs Al Adalah
1:1
Oct 7, 2022 Saudi Professional League
Al Adalah vs Al Fayha
2:1
Mar 17, 2021 Division 1
Al Fayha vs Al Adalah
1:0
Nov 30, 2020 Division 1
Al Adalah vs Al Fayha
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Adalah Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Al Fayha Compare

Top Goalscorer Hugo Moura
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Adalah 42 / 100
Al Fayha 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Adalah Al Fayha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Adalah's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Al Fayha conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Al Adalah went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Adalah VS Al Fayha
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Adalah

(Home)
20 Sept
Damac
3 : 2
Al Adalah
15 Sept
Al Adalah
1 : 0
Al Jandal
07 Sept
Al Adalah
1 : 1
Al Saqer
31 Aug
Al Bukiryah
0 : 1
Al Adalah
26 Aug
Al Adalah
3 : 4
Al Taee
Page 1 of 6

Al Fayha

(Away)
12 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 0
Al Fayha
08 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Fayha
03 Sept
Al Fayha
2 : 2
Al Kholood
28 Aug
Al Fayha
3 : 2
Abha
25 Aug
Al Taawon
0 : 0
Al Fayha
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Al Raed 0
Al Hilal 2
Al Bukiryah 2
Al Hazem Rass 3
Al Orubah 1
Abha 0
Al Okhdood 2
Al Khaleej 0
Al Ula 3
Al Fateh 0
Al Anwar 1
Al Ahli SC 2
Al Zulfi 0
Al Riyadh 2
Al Adalah 0
Al Fayha 2
Al Jabalain 1
Al Ettifaq FC 0
Al Najma 0
Al Ittihad 3
Al Diriyah 1
Al Nassr 4
Jeddah Club 0
Al Kholood 5
Damac 0
Al Taawon 3
Al Wehda 3
Al Shabab 2
Al Taee 0
Al Qadsiah 5
Al Faisaly 1
Neom SC 3
1/8-finals
Al Hilal -
Al Hazem Rass -
Al Orubah -
Al Okhdood -
Al Ula -
Al Ahli SC -
Al Riyadh -
Al Fayha -
Al Jabalain -
Al Ittihad -
Al Nassr -
Al Kholood -
Al Taawon -
Al Wehda -
Al Qadsiah -
Neom SC -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -