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Al-Afreeki vs Al Akhdar

Libya Libya

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al-Afreeki and Al Akhdar finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Akhdar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Al-Afreeki
28%
Draws
50%
Al Akhdar
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Al Akhdar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Akhdar come out ahead of Al-Afreeki on wins alone.
  • Al Akhdar are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Al Akhdar have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Al-Afreeki Clean Sheet 20%
Al Akhdar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Afreeki Al Akhdar
Matches Played 19 38
Wins 7 20
Draws 2 13
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Premier League
Al-Afreeki vs Al Akhdar
2:3
Apr 16, 2026 Premier League
Al Akhdar vs Al-Afreeki
1:0
Jan 29, 2026 Premier League
Al-Afreeki vs Al Akhdar
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Afreeki 24 / 100
Al Akhdar 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Afreeki Al Akhdar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Afreeki scored in 79% of their last 19 games.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Al Akhdar has conceded goals in 58% of their last 38 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al-Afreeki VS Al Akhdar
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%