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Al-Afreeki vs Al Murooj SC

Libya Libya

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al-Afreeki in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al-Afreeki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Al-Afreeki
17%
Draws
13%
Al Murooj SC
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Al-Afreeki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Murooj SC have won more games recently than Al-Afreeki.
  • Model gives Al-Afreeki a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Al-Afreeki Clean Sheet 20%
Al Murooj SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Afreeki Al Murooj SC
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 2 4
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Premier League
Al-Afreeki vs Al Murooj SC
5:0
Feb 4, 2026 Premier League
Al Murooj SC vs Al-Afreeki
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Afreeki 67 / 100
Al Murooj SC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Afreeki Al Murooj SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Al-Afreeki scored in 79% of their last 19 outings.

Al Murooj SC let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Al Murooj SC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Afreeki VS Al Murooj SC
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Afreeki

(Home)
23 May
Al-Afreeki
1 : 4
Al Ahly Benghazi
19 May
Al-Afreeki
2 : 3
Al Akhdar
15 May
Al-Afreeki
1 : 2
Al Nasr
11 May
Al-Afreeki
0 : 1
Military Union
07 May
Al-Afreeki
0 : 1
Al Hilal Benghazi
Page 1 of 4

Al Murooj SC

(Away)
22 Apr
Al-Afreeki
5 : 0
Al Murooj SC
16 Apr
Al Murooj SC
3 : 0
Al-Andalus
11 Apr
Al Tahaddi
3 : 1
Al Murooj SC
12 Mar
Al Murooj SC
0 : 1
Wefaq Ajdabiya
06 Mar
Al Murooj SC
0 : 1
Al Akhdar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ahly Tripoli18152147:947
2Asswehly18134135:943
3Al Madina1884623:2228
4Al Watan1865714:1823
5Assabah1864812:1822
6Al Malaab El Libby1855815:2120
7Al-Khmes1855819:3120
8Al Qadisiyah18621011:2419
9Al Dahra18351020:2714
10Abu Salim18341113:3013
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Ittihad16133035:942
2Olympic Azzaweya1694325:1131
3Al Ittihad Misurata1676321:1127
4Al-Majd1665514:1323
5Al Shomooa1664624:1922
6Shabab Al-Ghar1646617:2718
7Al Tirsana1637615:2316
8Ittihad Gharyan16241010:2510
9Abi Al Ashar1613129:326
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Military Union16105126:935
2Al Hilal Benghazi16104220:1134
3Al Ahly Benghazi1696123:633
4Al Taawun1675419:1426
5Darnes1655616:1620
6Al Sadaqa1654716:1719
7Al-Anwar1618712:2311
8Al Borouq1624107:2110
9Al-Suqoor16131213:356
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Nasr14112128:735
2Al Akhdar1484216:928
3Al-Afreeki1472529:1823
4Al Tahaddi1456321:1421
5Khaleej Sirte1454525:2219
6Wefaq Ajdabiya1453613:1718
7Al Murooj SC1441916:2413
8Al-Andalus1400141:380
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)