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Al Ahed vs Al Hikma Prediction & H2H Stats

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2025/2026 Beirut Municipal Stadium, Beirut
Al Ahed Logo

Al Ahed

1 - 0
FT
Al Hikma Logo

Al Hikma

Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Haidar M.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al Ahed and Al Hikma finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ahed.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Al Ahed
30%
Draws
54%
Al Hikma
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Hikma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Hikma have managed 1.36 goals a game lately — Al Ahed are scoring more at 1.41.
  • Model gives Al Hikma a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Al Ahed Clean Sheet 15%
Al Hikma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahed Al Hikma
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.41 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahed vs Al Hikma
1:0
Feb 11, 2026 Lebanese Cup
Al Ahed vs Al Hikma
0:1
Nov 7, 2025 Premier League
Al Hikma vs Al Ahed
1:3
Jul 16, 2025 Premier League
Al Hikma vs Al Ahed
3:1
Jun 20, 2025 Premier League
Al Hikma vs Al Ahed
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahed 27 / 100
Al Hikma 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahed Al Hikma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Hikma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahed's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Al Hikma conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Al Ahed went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahed VS Al Hikma
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahed

(Home)
01 Aug
Al Ahed
2 : 2
Jwayya SC
28 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Al Ahed
24 Jul
Al Ahed
1 : 1
Al Ansar
20 Jul
Jwayya SC
2 : 0
Al Ahed
16 Jul
Al Ahed
0 : 2
Nejmeh SC
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Al Hikma

(Away)
08 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 0
Al Hikma
03 Jul
Al Hikma
0 : 1
Nejmeh SC
29 Jun
Al Hikma
4 : 1
Tadamon
25 Jun
Al Hikma
4 : 2
Al Mabarrah
20 Jun
Al Hikma
3 : 3
Jwayya SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)