Sport Picks
Al Ahed vs Al Mabarrah - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Lebanon
Premier League 
AI Match Summary
Al Ahed host Al Mabarrah in the Premier League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Al Ahed at 1.42 goals for, 1.3 against; Al Mabarrah at 0.75 for, 1.82 against. Head-to-head, Al Ahed have won 3 to Al Mabarrah's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 1.13) point toward Al Ahed. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Al Ahed lately — more wins on the board than Al Mabarrah.
- Al Ahed are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Ahed | Al Mabarrah |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Ahed's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Al Mabarrah let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
Away concern: Al Mabarrah has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Al Ahed
(Home)Al Mabarrah
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahed | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Tripoli SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Al Ansar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Al Hikma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Nejmeh SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Safa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Al Mabarrah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Al Sahel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Tadamon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Al Riyadi Abbasiyah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Jwayya SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
