Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ahed vs Tadamon

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League Beirut Municipal Stadium, Beirut
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Ahed and Tadamon finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Al Ahed
22%
Draws
18%
Tadamon
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Al Ahed

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Ahed carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Al Ahed taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Al Ahed have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Al Ahed Clean Sheet 68%
Tadamon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahed Tadamon
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 3 9
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahed vs Tadamon
0:0
Jan 18, 2026 Lebanese Cup
Al Ahed vs Tadamon
3:1
Oct 25, 2025 Premier League
Tadamon vs Al Ahed
0:2
Jul 8, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahed vs Tadamon
5:3
May 24, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahed vs Tadamon
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahed 68 / 100
Tadamon 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahed Tadamon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Al Ahed scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Tadamon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Al Ahed went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahed VS Tadamon
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahed

(Home)
20 Jul
Jwayya SC
2 : 0
Al Ahed
16 Jul
Al Ahed
0 : 2
Nejmeh SC
12 Jul
Al Ansar
3 : 3
Al Ahed
28 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 2
Al Sahel
24 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 1
Safa
Page 1 of 7

Tadamon

(Away)
17 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
10 Jul
Racing
1 : 3
Tadamon
03 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 3
Al Ansar
29 Jun
Al Hikma
4 : 1
Tadamon
25 Jun
Nejmeh SC
1 : 0
Tadamon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ansar21172253:953
2Nejmeh SC21144342:1046
3Al Ahed21131734:2240
4Jwayya SC21115531:1438
5Safa21113730:1736
6Al Hikma2193929:2730
7Al Sahel2176822:2127
8Al-Mabarrah2157912:3622
9Al Riyadi Abbasiyah21551116:3020
10Tadamon21381012:2617
11Racing2101204:611
12Bourj113178:2010
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)