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Al Ahli SC vs Abha

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Ahli SC host Abha in the Saudi Professional League. This one's hard to separate. Abha have shipped 1.71 goals a game lately, while Al Ahli SC have conceded 0.75 and scored 2.38. Past meetings favor Al Ahli SC slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 18, 2024, ending 5:1. The numbers (2.04 xG vs 0.88) point toward Abha. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Al Ahli SC
33%
Draws
27%
Abha
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Al Ahli SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Ahli SC have won more games recently than Abha.
  • Win probability leans Al Ahli SC's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 20%
Abha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli SC Abha
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 24 20
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 2.38 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Abha
5:1
Nov 30, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Abha vs Al Ahli SC
0:6
Oct 31, 2023 King Cup
Al Ahli SC vs Abha
1:2
May 22, 2022 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Abha
1:1
Nov 21, 2021 Saudi Professional League
Abha vs Al Ahli SC
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli SC 40 / 100
Abha 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli SC Abha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AHL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Ahli SC scored in 89% of their last 36 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Abha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Abha lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli SC VS Abha
2.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.71
88% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahli SC

(Home)
28 Jul
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1
Fulham
28 Jul
Portimonense
2 : 0
Al Ahli SC
24 Jul
Al Ahli SC
1 : 3
Vitoria Guimaraes
19 Jul
Rio Ave
2 : 2
Al Ahli SC
15 Jul
Holstein Kiel
4 : 1
Al Ahli SC
Page 1 of 8

Abha

(Away)
19 Jul
Al Sharjah
2 : 1
Abha
13 May
Al Raed
5 : 1
Abha
09 May
Abha
0 : 1
Al Adalah
01 May
Al Diriyah
2 : 0
Abha
26 Apr
Abha
3 : 1
Al Batin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Hilal00000:00
2Al Ettifaq FC00000:00
3Al Ittihad00000:00
4Al Shabab00000:00
5Abha00000:00
6Al Ahli SC00000:00
7Al Hazem Rass00000:00
8Al Nassr00000:00
9Al Fateh00000:00
10Al Qadsiah00000:00
11Al Taawon00000:00
12Al-Faisaly00000:00
13Al Khaleej00000:00
14Al Riyadh00000:00
15Neom SC00000:00
16Al Diriyah00000:00
17Al Fayha00000:00
18Al Kholood00000:00
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)