Sport Picks
Al Ahli SC vs Al Ettifaq FC
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah 
Match Events
17'
17'
Toney I.
Assist: Mahrez R.
27'
27'
Toney I.
(Penalty)
37'
37'
Sub
Hendry J. In: Al Sibyani M.
Out: Hendry J.
AI Match Summary
Al Ahli SC in this Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ahli SC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
28%
50%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Al Ettifaq FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Al Ahli SC have won more games recently than Al Ettifaq FC.
- Al Ettifaq FC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 15%
Al Ettifaq FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Ahli SC | Al Ettifaq FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 22 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.25 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 28, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Ettifaq FC
4:0
Sep 12, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Ettifaq FC vs Al Ahli SC
0:0
May 22, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Ettifaq FC
1:3
Jan 20, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Ettifaq FC vs Al Ahli SC
1:2
Mar 29, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Ettifaq FC vs Al Ahli SC
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Ahli SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Toney I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Atangana V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Al Ettifaq FC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Ahli SC 23 / 100
Al Ettifaq FC 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Ahli SC Al Ettifaq FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ETT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Al Ahli SC scored in 88% of their last 33 outings.
Defensive concern: Al Ettifaq FC conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Al Ahli SC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Al Ahli SC VS Al Ettifaq FC
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Ahli SC
(Home) 28 Jul
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1 Fulham
28 Jul
Portimonense
2 : 0 Al Ahli SC
24 Jul
Al Ahli SC
1 : 3 Vitoria Guimaraes
19 Jul
Rio Ave
2 : 2 Al Ahli SC
15 Jul
Holstein Kiel
4 : 1 Al Ahli SC
Page 1 of 7
28 Jul
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1 Fulham
24 Jul
Al Ahli SC
1 : 3 Vitoria Guimaraes
16 May
Al Ahli SC
3 : 0 Al Kholood
06 May
Al Ahli SC
3 : 1 Al Fateh
03 May
Al Ahli SC
4 : 0 Al Okhdood
Page 1 of 4
Al Ettifaq FC
(Away) 25 Jul
Eldense
3 : 1 Al Ettifaq FC
24 Jul
York City
2 : 2 Al Ettifaq FC
19 Jul
Al Ettifaq FC
3 : 2 Johor DT
21 May
Neom SC
1 : 1 Al Ettifaq FC
14 May
Al Ettifaq FC
1 : 3 Al Ittihad
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Eldense
3 : 1 Al Ettifaq FC
24 Jul
York City
2 : 2 Al Ettifaq FC
21 May
Neom SC
1 : 1 Al Ettifaq FC
09 May
Al Khaleej
0 : 5 Al Ettifaq FC
30 Apr
Al Okhdood
1 : 3 Al Ettifaq FC
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nassr | 34 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 91:28 | 86 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 34 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 85:27 | 84 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 71:25 | 81 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 83:34 | 77 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55:48 | 55 |
| 6 | Al Taawon | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 59:46 | 53 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq FC | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 9 | Al Hazem Rass | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:57 | 42 |
| 10 | Al Fayha | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41:54 | 38 |
| 11 | Al Fateh | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 41:55 | 37 |
| 12 | Al Khaleej | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 54:62 | 37 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 44:57 | 35 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 39:61 | 33 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 35:63 | 30 |
| 16 | Damac | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 32:55 | 29 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 27:70 | 20 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 32:76 | 16 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)
