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Real Santander vs Patriotas Prediction & H2H Stats

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Villa Concha, Piedecuesta
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Sub
Montes J. In: Bello Vivas S. E.
Out: Montes J.
30'
Alvarez K.
32'
Hernandez J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Real Santander
30%
Draws
42%
Patriotas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Patriotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Real Santander haven't matched Patriotas's recent run of results.
  • Real Santander are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Real Santander Clean Sheet 19%
Patriotas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Santander Patriotas
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 3 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.79 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Primera B
Real Santander vs Patriotas
2:2
Jan 30, 2026 Primera B
Patriotas vs Real Santander
2:0
Sep 26, 2025 Primera B
Patriotas vs Real Santander
2:0
Apr 19, 2025 Primera B
Real Santander vs Patriotas
1:1
Aug 5, 2023 Primera B
Real Santander vs Patriotas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Santander Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tapia D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Patriotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Copete C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Santander 36 / 100
Patriotas 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Santander Patriotas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Patriotas conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Real Santander has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Real Santander scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Santander VS Patriotas
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Santander

(Home)
26 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 1
Real Santander
22 Sept
Real Santander
0 : 0
Orsomarso
13 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 0
Real Santander
05 Sept
Quindio
0 : 0
Real Santander
29 Aug
Real Santander
3 : 1
Inter Palmira
Page 1 of 6

Patriotas

(Away)
26 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
4 : 1
Patriotas
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2
Union Magdalena
13 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2
Patriotas
10 Sept
Patriotas
3 : 1
Barranquilla
07 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 0
Tigres Futbol Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Cundinamarca 11 7 2 2 19:10 23
2 Independiente Valle del Cauca 10 6 2 2 14:6 20
3 Tigres Futbol Club 10 5 3 2 12:4 18
4 Patriotas 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
5 Cartagena 10 4 3 3 17:11 15
6 Boca Juniors de Cali 9 4 2 3 14:11 14
7 Inter Palmira 10 4 2 4 8:11 14
8 Atletico F.C. 11 4 2 5 13:17 14
9 Quindio 10 3 4 3 8:8 13
10 Real Santander 10 2 6 2 12:15 12
11 Envigado 10 2 5 3 9:8 11
12 Bogota 10 3 2 5 6:10 11
13 Orsomarso 10 2 4 4 7:10 10
14 Leones 10 2 3 5 7:16 9
15 Union Magdalena 9 2 2 5 6:10 8
16 Barranquilla 10 2 2 6 10:16 8
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)