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Defensores de Cambaceres vs CA Lugano Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Primera C
Defensores de Cambaceres Logo

Defensores de Cambaceres

1 - 2
FT
CA Lugano Logo

CA Lugano

Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Cagliari T.
29' Event
Coselli M.
31' Event
Coronel E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CA Lugano in this Primera C matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CA Lugano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Defensores de Cambaceres
35%
Draws
30%
CA Lugano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: CA Lugano at 1.03 per game, Defensores de Cambaceres at 0.79.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Defensores de Cambaceres Clean Sheet 68%
CA Lugano Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensores de Cambaceres CA Lugano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 13
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.79 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Primera C
Defensores de Cambaceres vs CA Lugano
1:2
Apr 4, 2026 Primera C
CA Lugano vs Defensores de Cambaceres
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 Primera C
CA Lugano vs Defensores de Cambaceres
2:2
May 20, 2025 Primera C
Defensores de Cambaceres vs CA Lugano
2:0
Aug 9, 2024 Primera C
CA Lugano vs Defensores de Cambaceres
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defensores de Cambaceres Compare

Top Goalscorer Coronel E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

CA Lugano Compare

Top Goalscorer Coselli M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez A. N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensores de Cambaceres 41 / 100
CA Lugano 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensores de Cambaceres CA Lugano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Defensores de Cambaceres Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Defensores de Cambaceres stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensores de Cambaceres scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

CA Lugano let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Defensores de Cambaceres VS CA Lugano
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensores de Cambaceres

(Home)
02 Oct
Defensores de Cambaceres
0 : 1
Victoriano Arenas
28 Sept
CSR Espanol
2 : 0
Defensores de Cambaceres
18 Sept
Defensores de Cambaceres
0 : 0
Justo Jose de Urquiza
13 Sept
Defensores de Cambaceres
1 : 0
Sportivo Barracas
04 Sept
Mercedes
0 : 3
Defensores de Cambaceres
Page 1 of 6

CA Lugano

(Away)
04 Oct
CA Lugano
2 : 3
Argentino de Rosario
26 Sept
Deportivo Paraguayo
1 : 1
CA Lugano
20 Sept
CA Lugano
1 : 1
Estrella Del Sur
12 Sept
CA Lugano
0 : 0
Leones de Rosario
06 Sept
Puerto Nuevo
0 : 1
CA Lugano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Berazategui 31 12 12 7 37:24 48
2 Sacachispas 31 13 8 10 32:26 47
3 CA Lugano 31 11 13 7 35:28 46
4 Juventud Unida San Miguel 31 12 9 10 38:31 45
5 Estrella Del Sur 31 11 12 8 31:29 45
6 CSR Espanol 30 11 11 8 37:27 44
7 Victoriano Arenas 31 10 14 7 24:19 44
8 Mercedes 30 11 10 9 29:23 43
9 Puerto Nuevo 31 9 11 11 28:35 38
10 Defensores de Cambaceres 31 9 9 13 25:31 36
11 Justo Jose de Urquiza 31 6 14 11 19:26 32
12 Deportivo Paraguayo 30 7 10 13 22:38 31
13 Leandro N. Alem 30 8 7 15 29:51 31
14 Argentino de Rosario 31 4 15 12 30:41 27
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Lujan 30 17 7 6 44:22 58
2 Canuelas 30 16 9 5 38:21 57
3 Central Cordoba (Rosario) 31 13 10 8 32:22 49
4 Deportivo Espanol 30 11 15 4 24:15 48
5 Leones de Rosario 30 11 12 7 27:24 45
6 General Lamadrid 30 9 13 8 23:26 40
7 Sportivo Barracas 30 11 6 13 32:30 39
8 CSD Central Ballester 30 10 8 12 28:28 38
9 Atlas 30 9 10 11 23:26 37
10 El Porvenir 30 7 15 8 25:30 36
11 Yupanqui 31 8 11 12 33:35 35
12 Claypole 30 8 8 14 24:38 32
13 Fenix 30 7 10 13 22:30 31
14 Deportivo Muniz 30 5 11 14 20:35 26
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)