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Bermuda vs Barbados - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Wildey Turf, Bridgetown
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Russell T.
31'
Applewhaite A.
46'
Sub
Tucker N. In: Lewis Z.
Out: Tucker N.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League game between Bermuda and Barbados finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barbados.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bermuda
15%
Draws
85%
Barbados
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barbados

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bermuda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Barbados are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Bermuda Clean Sheet 10%
Barbados Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bermuda Barbados
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1.47 1.72
Goals Conceded 2.44 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Bermuda vs Barbados
1:2
Oct 3, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Barbados vs Bermuda
4:1
Jul 2, 2021 Gold Cup
Bermuda vs Barbados
8:1
Mar 25, 2018 Friendly International
Barbados vs Bermuda
0:0
Oct 28, 2017 Friendly International
Bermuda vs Barbados
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bermuda Compare

Top Goalscorer Parfitt-Williams D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Barbados Compare

Top Goalscorer Gale T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bermuda 10 / 100
Barbados 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bermuda Barbados

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barbados Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barbados has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Bermuda's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Barbados lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bermuda VS Barbados
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
3.25 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bermuda

(Home)
06 Oct
Bermuda
1 : 2
Barbados
03 Oct
Barbados
4 : 1
Bermuda
29 Sept
Saint Lucia
5 : 2
Bermuda
25 Sept
Bermuda
1 : 2
Guadeloupe
06 Jun
Cape Verde
3 : 0
Bermuda
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Barbados

(Away)
06 Oct
Bermuda
1 : 2
Barbados
03 Oct
Barbados
4 : 1
Bermuda
28 Sept
Guadeloupe
2 : 2
Barbados
26 Sept
Barbados
2 : 0
Saint Lucia
29 Mar
Barbados
2 : 3
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
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