Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ind. Medellin vs Santa Fe

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Zapata A.
35'
Repetto P.
38'
Klinger K.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Ind. Medellin and Santa Fe finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Fe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ind. Medellin
30%
Draws
47%
Santa Fe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ind. Medellin haven't matched Santa Fe's recent run of results.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Ind. Medellin Clean Sheet 17%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ind. Medellin Santa Fe
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 15 17
Draws 6 12
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.44 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Primera A
Ind. Medellin vs Santa Fe
0:1
Mar 23, 2026 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Ind. Medellin
2:1
Oct 21, 2025 Primera A
Ind. Medellin vs Santa Fe
1:1
Oct 2, 2025 Copa Colombia
Santa Fe vs Ind. Medellin
0:3
Sep 24, 2025 Copa Colombia
Ind. Medellin vs Santa Fe
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ind. Medellin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Santa Fe Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ind. Medellin 36 / 100
Santa Fe 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ind. Medellin Santa Fe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Fe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ind. Medellin's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Santa Fe conceded in 65% of 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ind. Medellin stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ind. Medellin VS Santa Fe
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ind. Medellin

(Home)
06 Oct
Ind. Medellin
0 : 1
Santa Fe
30 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 2
Millonarios
27 Sept
Junior
2 : 0
Ind. Medellin
22 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 1
Jaguares de Cordoba
18 Sept
Bucaramanga
2 : 2
Ind. Medellin
Page 1 of 7

Santa Fe

(Away)
06 Oct
Ind. Medellin
0 : 1
Santa Fe
29 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 2
Santa Fe
25 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1
Santa Fe
23 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 1
Dep. Cali
19 Sept
Alianza
1 : 4
Santa Fe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 12 8 3 1 24:7 27
2 Dep. Cali 12 7 3 2 20:9 24
3 Bucaramanga 11 6 5 0 20:10 23
4 Atl. Nacional 10 7 1 2 21:10 22
5 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
6 Millonarios 13 5 6 2 18:11 21
7 Ind. Medellin 12 6 2 4 19:16 20
8 Deportes Tolima 12 5 4 3 15:13 19
9 Cucuta 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
10 Llaneros 12 4 2 6 15:16 14
11 Aguilas Doradas 11 3 5 3 14:15 14
12 Once Caldas 12 3 4 5 15:16 13
13 Inter Bogotá 13 2 7 4 14:18 13
14 Chico 11 3 3 5 10:18 12
15 Alianza 12 3 2 7 12:24 11
16 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 12 1 7 4 13:18 10
17 Junior 11 2 3 6 16:20 9
18 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
19 Dep. Pereira 11 1 5 5 7:17 8
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 11 1 4 6 11:20 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)