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Al Ahli SC vs Al Khaleej - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Ahli SC host Al Khaleej in the Saudi Professional League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Al Khaleej have shipped 1.76 goals a game lately, while Al Ahli SC have conceded 1.14 and scored 1.94. Past meetings favor Al Ahli SC slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 20, 2026, ending 1:4. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.19) point toward Al Ahli SC. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Al Ahli SC
35%
Draws
24%
Al Khaleej
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Ahli SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ahli SC lately — more wins on the board than Al Khaleej.
  • Al Ahli SC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Ahli SC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 20%
Al Khaleej Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli SC Al Khaleej
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 22 5
Draws 4 10
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.94 1
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Ahli SC
1:4
Jan 20, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Khaleej
4:1
Mar 7, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Khaleej
2:2
Oct 18, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Ahli SC
0:3
Dec 29, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Khaleej
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli SC 49 / 100
Al Khaleej 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli SC Al Khaleej

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahli SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahli SC's goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Al Khaleej let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Al Ahli SC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli SC VS Al Khaleej
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahli SC

(Home)
12 Oct
Al Wasl
1 : 3
Al Ahli SC
09 Oct
Al Fateh
0 : 4
Al Ahli SC
19 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 1
Al Ahli SC
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Al Ahli SC
3 : 1
Al Hazem Rass
Page 1 of 8

Al Khaleej

(Away)
15 Oct
Al Khaleej
2 : 0
Al Fayha
10 Oct
Al Ettifaq FC
1 : 1
Al Khaleej
12 Sept
Al Khaleej
1 : 1
Al Nassr
07 Sept
Al Khaleej
0 : 0
Al Riyadh
03 Sept
Neom SC
3 : 0
Al Khaleej
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Qadsiah 9 7 1 1 23:9 22
2 Al Hilal 8 7 0 1 26:7 21
3 Al Nassr 8 6 1 1 19:7 19
4 Al Ittihad 8 5 2 1 14:9 17
5 Neom SC 9 5 1 3 14:8 16
6 Al Ahli SC 8 5 0 3 20:10 15
7 Al Ettifaq FC 9 4 3 2 13:12 15
8 Al Diriyah 9 3 3 3 8:9 12
9 Al Kholood 9 3 3 3 14:18 12
10 Al Hazem Rass 9 2 3 4 10:13 9
11 Al Khaleej 9 1 6 2 6:11 9
12 Al Riyadh 8 2 3 3 9:17 9
13 Al Shabab 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
14 Al Fayha 9 1 4 4 8:14 7
15 Al Faisaly 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
16 Al Fateh 9 1 3 5 7:17 6
17 Al Taawon 9 0 4 5 4:16 4
18 Abha 8 0 2 6 6:15 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)