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Stadium Background

Al Ahli SC vs Damac

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League King Abdullah Sports City
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Al Anazi D.
Own Goal
6' Event
Toney I.
Assist: Galeno
53'
Sub
Ibanez In: Sulaiman M.
Out: Ibanez

AI Match Summary

Al Ahli SC in this Saudi Professional League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ahli SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al Ahli SC
6%
Draws
4%
Damac
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Ahli SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Ahli SC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Damac.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Al Ahli SC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Saudi Professional League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 68%
Damac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli SC Damac
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 21 6
Draws 3 10
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 1.75 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Damac
3:0
Feb 23, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Damac vs Al Ahli SC
0:1
Feb 21, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Damac vs Al Ahli SC
0:2
Sep 20, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Damac
4:2
May 2, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Damac
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ahli SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Toney I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matheus Goncalves
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Damac Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli SC 95 / 100
Damac 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli SC Damac

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AHL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahli SC scored in 89% of their last 27 games.

Damac let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Al Ahli SC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Damac lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli SC VS Damac
1.75 Goals Scored 1.14
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 14%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Nassr34282491:2886
2Al Hilal34259085:2784
3Al Ahli SC34256371:2581
4Al Qadsiah34238383:3477
5Al Ittihad341671155:4855
6Al Taawon341581159:4653
7Al Ettifaq FC341481251:5550
8Neom SC341291343:4845
9Al Hazem Rass341191438:5742
10Al Fayha341081641:5438
11Al Fateh349101541:5537
12Al Khaleej341071754:6237
13Al Shabab348111544:5735
14Al Kholood34961939:6133
15Al Riyadh34791835:6330
16Damac346111732:5529
17Al Okhdood34552427:7020
18Al Najma34372432:7616