Sport Picks
Al Ahli SC vs Pakhtakor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Asia
AFC Champions League King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Masoud N. In: Spertsyan E.
Out: Masoud N.
46'
46'
Sub
Tahseen Z. In: Pouraliganji M.
Out: Tahseen Z.
53'
53'
Sub
Galeno In: Al Mutairi M.
Out: Galeno
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this AFC Champions League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pakhtakor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Al Ahli SC at 1.81 per game, Pakhtakor at 1.64.
- Win probability leans Al Ahli SC's way, sitting at 36%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 18%
Pakhtakor Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Ahli SC | Pakhtakor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.81 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 14, 2026 AFC Champions League
Al Ahli SC vs Pakhtakor
1:1
May 20, 2019 AFC Champions League
Al Ahli SC vs Pakhtakor
2:1
Mar 12, 2019 AFC Champions League
Pakhtakor vs Al Ahli SC
1:0
Apr 20, 2005 AFC Champions League
Pakhtakor vs Al Ahli SC
2:1
Apr 6, 2005 AFC Champions League
Al Ahli SC vs Pakhtakor
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Ahli SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Al Buraikan F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Pakhtakor Compare
Top Goalscorer Flamarion
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Ahli SC 36 / 100
Pakhtakor 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Ahli SC Pakhtakor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Al Ahli SC scored in 89% of their last 27 outings.
Defensive concern: Pakhtakor conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Al Ahli SC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Al Ahli SC VS Pakhtakor
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Ahli SC
(Home) 19 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 1 Al Ahli SC
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Al Ahli SC
3 : 1 Al Hazem Rass
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2 Al Ahli SC
04 Sept
Al Ahli SC
5 : 0 Al Riyadh
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Al Ahli SC
3 : 1 Al Hazem Rass
04 Sept
Al Ahli SC
5 : 0 Al Riyadh
26 Aug
Al Ahli SC
1 : 0 Auckland FC
22 Aug
Al Ahli SC
4 : 0 Abha
Page 1 of 3
Pakhtakor
(Away) 19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2 Pakhtakor
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3 Pakhtakor
04 Sept
Pakhtakor
3 : 0 Andijan
29 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Pakhtakor
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2 Pakhtakor
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3 Pakhtakor
29 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Pakhtakor
25 Aug
Din. Samarkand
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Shanghai Port | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 | Jeonbuk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Daejeon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 8 | Buriram United F.C. | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 | Johor DT | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 11 | Port MTI FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 12 | Kyoto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 13 | Ratchaburi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:6 | 0 |
| 14 | Pohang | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 15 | Cong An Ha Noi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 16 | Newcastle Jets | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:7 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Esteghlal TEH | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Al Hilal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Neftchi Fargona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 | Pakhtakor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 8 | Al Ittihad | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 | Al Ahli SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 | Shamal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 11 | Al Gharafa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 12 | Al Wasl | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 13 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 14 | Tractor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 15 | Al Sadd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 16 | Al Nassr | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
