Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ahli SC vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League 2025/2026 King Abdullah Sports City
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Al Buraikan F.
Assist: Mahrez R.
35' Event
Al Meqebaali H.
Own Goal
45' Event
Millot E.
Assist: Al Hawsawi Z.

AI Match Summary

Al Ahli SC in this AFC Champions League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ahli SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al Ahli SC
6%
Draws
4%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Ahli SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Ahli SC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Al Ahli SC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in AFC Champions League 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 20%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli SC Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 24 18
Draws 3 6
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2026 AFC Champions League
Al Ahli SC vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
4:3
Sep 26, 2020 AFC Champions League
Al Ahli SC vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
2:1
May 29, 2017 AFC Champions League
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Al Ahli SC
1:3
May 22, 2017 AFC Champions League
Al Ahli SC vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1:1
Apr 21, 2015 AFC Champions League
Al Ahli SC vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ahli SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Buraikan F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Millot E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Compare

Top Goalscorer Breno
2 Goals
Assists Leader Al Mansouri M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli SC 85 / 100
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli SC Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AHL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahli SC scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Al Ahli SC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli SC VS Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Machida Zelvia852115:717
2Vissel Kobe851214:716
3Sanfrecce Hiroshima843110:615
4Buriram United F.C.842210:814
5Melbourne City84229:714
6Johor DT83238:711
7Seoul824210:910
8Gangwon82339:119
9Ulsan Hyundai82336:89
10Chengdu Rongcheng81347:116
11Shanghai Shenhua81165:134
12Shanghai Port80442:114
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Hilal871017:622
2Al Ahli SC852121:917
3Tractor852112:417
4Al Ittihad850322:915
5Al Wahda842211:714
6Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai832314:1411
7Al-Duhail822416:168
8Al-Sadd822412:168
9Al Sharjah82248:168
10Al-Gharafa82067:216
11Al Shorta81256:205
12Nasaf Qarshi81169:174