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Al-Ahli vs Aali Club

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Coutinho
84' Event
Diego Cardoso
90'

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al-Ahli and Aali Club finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aali Club.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Al-Ahli
30%
Draws
41%
Aali Club
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aali Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Aali Club have managed 0.89 goals a game lately — Al-Ahli are scoring more at 1.37.
  • Win probability leans Al-Ahli's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Al-Ahli Clean Sheet 20%
Aali Club Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Ahli Aali Club
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.37 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2026 Premier League
Al-Ahli vs Aali Club
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 Premier League
Aali Club vs Al-Ahli
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Ahli Compare

Top Goalscorer Coutinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Aali Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Diego Cardoso
1 Goals
Assists Leader da Silva R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Ahli 36 / 100
Aali Club 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Ahli Aali Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Ahli's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Aali Club conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Al-Ahli went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Ahli VS Aali Club
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Ahli

(Home)
12 Sept
Al-Ahli
0 : 2
Al-Ittifaq
05 Sept
Al-Hidd
0 : 1
Al-Ahli
28 Aug
Al-Muharraq
1 : 1
Al-Ahli
15 May
Al-Budaiya
2 : 2
Al-Ahli
11 May
Al-Ahli
0 : 1
Al-Hidd
Page 1 of 6

Aali Club

(Away)
11 Sept
Aali Club
1 : 0
Malkia
04 Sept
Al Khalidiyah
3 : 1
Aali Club
29 Aug
Aali Club
1 : 1
Manama Club
16 May
Al-Muharraq
1 : 0
Aali Club
10 May
Aali Club
2 : 0
Al-Budaiya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Muharraq 22 17 4 1 45:7 55
2 Al Khalidiyah 22 18 0 4 42:16 54
3 Al Riffa 22 15 4 3 41:17 49
4 Malkia 22 9 6 7 23:16 33
5 Aali Club 22 9 4 9 19:20 31
6 Al-Hidd 22 8 6 8 29:23 30
7 Al-Ahli 22 7 6 9 28:28 27
8 Sitra 22 7 6 9 22:31 27
9 Al-Budaiya 22 6 4 12 24:34 22
10 Al-Najma 22 6 4 12 21:35 22
11 Al-Shabbab 22 3 5 14 8:34 14
12 Bahrain SC 22 2 1 19 15:56 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)