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Al Ahli vs Al-Faisaly Amman

Jordan Jordan

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Al Shanaineh A.
30' Event
Al Hourani H.
48' Event
Al Hallaq M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Ahli and Al-Faisaly Amman finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Faisaly Amman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al Ahli
40%
Draws
29%
Al-Faisaly Amman
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al-Faisaly Amman come out ahead of Al Ahli on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al-Faisaly Amman have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 68%
Al-Faisaly Amman Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli Al-Faisaly Amman
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 20
Draws 10 4
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Al-Faisaly Amman
2:2
Mar 1, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Al-Faisaly Amman
0:3
Nov 28, 2025 Shield Cup
Al-Faisaly Amman vs Al Ahli
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Premier League
Al-Faisaly Amman vs Al Ahli
3:2
Feb 27, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Al-Faisaly Amman
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ahli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Al-Faisaly Amman Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Shanaineh A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Hourani H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli 42 / 100
Al-Faisaly Amman 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli Al-Faisaly Amman

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Al Ahli found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Al-Faisaly Amman let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Al Ahli went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli VS Al-Faisaly Amman
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Hussein27195370:1762
2Al-Faisaly Amman27175552:2556
3Al Wehdat27166545:1954
4Al Ramtha27139540:2648
5Al Salt27971133:3534
6Al Jazeera Amman27871228:4531
7Shabab Al Ordon27781222:3729
8Al Buqaa27771341:6628
9Al Ahli27591326:4424
10Sama Al Sarhan27132315:586