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Al Ahli vs Al Hilal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Yemen Yemen

Division 1
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
12:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Ahli host Al Hilal in the Division 1. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Al Hilal have shipped 1.68 goals a game lately, while Al Ahli have conceded 0.64 and scored 1.33. Past meetings favor Al Ahli slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 12, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 0.56) point toward Al Ahli. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Al Ahli
30%
Draws
18%
Al Hilal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Ahli have won more games recently than Al Hilal.
  • Win probability leans Al Ahli's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Ahli have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.8%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 20%
Al Hilal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli Al Hilal
Matches Played 36 22
Wins 18 4
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.33 0.59
Goals Conceded 0.64 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2026 Division 1
Al Ahli vs Al Hilal
0:0
Jan 1, 2024 Division 1
Al Ahli vs Al Hilal
6:0
Oct 16, 2023 Division 1
Al Hilal vs Al Ahli
0:4
Jan 2, 2015 Division 1
Al Hilal vs Al Ahli
0:1
Aug 29, 2014 Division 1
Al Ahli vs Al Hilal
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli 85 / 100
Al Hilal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli Al Hilal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahli went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Al Ahli scored in 67% of their last 36 games.

Al Hilal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 22 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli VS Al Hilal
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahli

(Home)
20 Aug
Al Baydaa
0 : 2
Al Ahli
12 Aug
Al Ahli
4 : 0
Al Ittihad
06 Aug
Al Ahli
0 : 0
Al Shabab Hadramaut
24 Jul
Ittihad Hadramout
0 : 0
Al Ahli
16 Jul
Al Yarmuk
1 : 1
Al Ahli
Page 1 of 8

Al Hilal

(Away)
20 Aug
Al Hilal
2 : 0
Salam
16 Aug
Tadamone Hadramout
2 : 0
Al Hilal
21 Jul
Fhman
3 : 1
Al Hilal
15 Jul
Al Shabab Hadramaut
3 : 0
Al Hilal
11 Jul
Al Sadd
5 : 2
Al Hilal
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shabab Hadramaut 12 9 2 1 18:3 29
2 Tadamone Hadramout 12 8 2 2 15:5 26
3 Al Sadd 12 6 4 2 19:9 22
4 Al Ahli 12 6 4 2 14:5 22
5 Al Wahda 11 6 3 2 14:8 21
6 Fhman 12 6 2 4 16:9 20
7 Al Yarmuk 12 5 5 2 15:10 20
8 Mukallah 12 6 1 5 14:11 19
9 Al Oruba 12 6 1 5 15:16 19
10 Ittihad Hadramout 12 3 1 8 12:19 10
11 Al Ittihad 12 2 3 7 7:18 9
12 Al Hilal 11 2 1 8 8:22 7
13 Salam 12 2 0 10 6:20 6
14 Al Baydaa 12 1 1 10 6:24 4
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