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Al Ahli vs Al Oruba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Yemen Yemen

Division 1
Al Ahli Logo

Al Ahli

1 - 2
FT
Al Oruba Logo

Al Oruba

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Al Ahli and Al Oruba finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Oruba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Al Ahli
35%
Draws
20%
Al Oruba
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Ahli come out ahead of Al Oruba on wins alone.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Al Ahli taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 20%
Al Oruba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli Al Oruba
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 16 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.26 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Division 1
Al Ahli vs Al Oruba
1:2
Dec 24, 2023 Division 1
Al Oruba vs Al Ahli
1:2
Oct 24, 2023 Division 1
Al Ahli vs Al Oruba
0:0
Feb 13, 2015 Division 1
Al Oruba vs Al Ahli
0:0
Oct 25, 2014 Division 1
Al Ahli vs Al Oruba
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli 85 / 100
Al Oruba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli Al Oruba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahli has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al Ahli found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (34 games).

Al Oruba has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli VS Al Oruba
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahli

(Home)
20 Aug
Al Baydaa
0 : 2
Al Ahli
12 Aug
Al Ahli
4 : 0
Al Ittihad
06 Aug
Al Ahli
0 : 0
Al Shabab Hadramaut
24 Jul
Ittihad Hadramout
0 : 0
Al Ahli
16 Jul
Al Yarmuk
1 : 1
Al Ahli
Page 1 of 7

Al Oruba

(Away)
19 Aug
Al Oruba
0 : 1
Al Yarmuk
11 Aug
Al Oruba
3 : 1
Salam
05 Aug
Al Oruba
2 : 2
Fhman
21 Jul
Al Shabab Hadramaut
1 : 0
Al Oruba
17 Jul
Mukallah
3 : 0
Al Oruba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shabab Hadramaut 12 9 2 1 18:3 29
2 Tadamone Hadramout 12 8 2 2 15:5 26
3 Al Sadd 12 6 4 2 19:9 22
4 Al Ahli 12 6 4 2 14:5 22
5 Al Wahda 11 6 3 2 14:8 21
6 Fhman 12 6 2 4 16:9 20
7 Al Yarmuk 12 5 5 2 15:10 20
8 Mukallah 12 6 1 5 14:11 19
9 Al Oruba 12 6 1 5 15:16 19
10 Ittihad Hadramout 12 3 1 8 12:19 10
11 Al Ittihad 12 2 3 7 7:18 9
12 Al Hilal 11 2 1 8 8:22 7
13 Salam 12 2 0 10 6:20 6
14 Al Baydaa 12 1 1 10 6:24 4
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)